灰犀牛风险规划:如何为 "不可预见 "做好准备。

Q3 Medicine
Jo Robertson
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引用次数: 0

摘要

灰犀牛风险是指影响大但看似概率低的风险,这些风险被置于次要位置,这往往是由于人们错误地希望风险不会在短期内发生,因此减缓风险的规划可以被延迟或驳回。正如作者之前在本刊上所言,现在是时候改变我们看待风险的方式,以重新评估灰犀牛风险并重新确定其优先次序了。我们必须停止耸耸肩,将灰犀牛视为 "不可预见",从而免除我们对灰犀牛采取任何行动的责任。作者的上一篇论文 "犀牛与风险评估:调整风险评估方法以考虑'不可预见'事件 "1 提供了一种将灰犀牛拉到聚光灯下的方法,这样我们就能更容易地看到它们,并认识到它们的高影响地位需要得到承认和规划。本文件将这一方法向前推进了一步--展示了如何对已发现的灰犀牛风险进行规划。与其继续将灰犀牛视为 "不可预见的",我们可以而且必须让我们的组织为灰犀牛做好准备。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Planning for grey rhino risks : How to prepare for the 'unforeseeable'.

Grey rhino risks are high-impact but seemingly low-probability risks that get shuttled to the sidelines, often due to a misguided hope that the risk will not materialise in the near term, so mitigation planning can be delayed or dismissed. As the author has argued previously in this journal, it is time to change the way we look at risks in order to reassess and re-prioritise our grey rhino risks. We must stop shrugging our shoulders and treating grey rhinos as 'unforeseeable' and therefore absolving ourselves from doing anything about them. The author's previous paper, ''Rhinos and risk assessments: Adjusting risk assessment methodologies to account for "unforeseeable' events"'1 provided a methodology for pulling grey rhinos into the spotlight, so that we can see them more easily and recognise that their high-impact status requires both acknowledging and planning for. The present paper takes the methodology a step further - demonstrating how to plan for grey rhino risks that have been identified. Rather than continuing to tag grey rhinos as 'unforeseeable', we can and must prepare our organisations for them.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.30
自引率
0.00%
发文量
34
期刊介绍: Journal of Business Continuity & Emergency Planning is the leading professional journal publishing peer-reviewed articles and case studies written by and for business continuity and emergency managers.
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