Long-term cardiovascular disease risk after anthracycline and trastuzumab treatments in US breast cancer survivors.

Background: Although breast cancer survivors are at risk for cardiovascular disease (CVD) from treatment late effects, evidence to inform long-term and age-specific cardiovascular surveillance recommendations is lacking.

Methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of 10 211 women diagnosed with first primary unilateral breast cancer in Kaiser Permanente Washington or Colorado (aged 20 years and older, survived ≥1 year). We estimated multivariable adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for associations between initial chemotherapy regimen type (anthracycline and/or trastuzumab, other chemotherapies, no chemotherapy [referent]) and CVD risk, adjusted for patient characteristics, other treatments, and CVD risk factors. Cumulative incidence was calculated considering competing events.

Results: After 5.79 median years, 14.67% of women developed CVD (cardiomyopathy and/or heart failure [HF], ischemic heart disease, stroke). Women treated with anthracyclines and/or trastuzumab had a higher risk of CVD compared with no chemotherapy (adjusted HR = 1.53, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.31 to 1.79), persisting at least 5 years postdiagnosis (adjusted HR5-<10 years = 1.85, 95% CI = 1.44 to 2.39; adjusted HR≥10 years = 1.83, 95% CI = 1.34 to 2.49). Cardiomyopathy and/or HF risks were elevated among women treated with anthracyclines and/or trastuzumab compared with no chemotherapy, especially for those aged younger than 65 years (adjusted HR20-54years = 2.97, 95% CI = 1.72 to 5.12; adjusted HR55-64years = 2.21, 95% CI = 1.52 to 3.21), differing for older women (adjusted HR≥65 years = 1.32, 95% CI = 0.97 to 1.78), and at least 5 years postdiagnosis (adjusted HR5-<10years = 1.89, 95% CI = 1.35 to 2.64; adjusted HR≥10 years = 2.21, 95% CI = 1.52 to 3.20). Anthracyclines and/or trastuzumab receipt was associated with increased ischemic heart disease risks after 5 or more years (adjusted HR5-<10years = 1.51, 95% CI = 1.06 to 2.14; adjusted HR≥10 years = 1.86, 95% CI = 1.18 to 2.93) with no clear age effects, and stroke risk (adjusted HR = 1.33, 95% CI = 1.05 to 1.69), which did not vary by time or age. There was some evidence of long-term cardiomyopathy and/or HF and ischemic heart disease risks with other chemotherapies. Among women aged younger than 65 treated with anthracyclines and/or trastuzumab, up to 16% developed CVD by 10 years (20-54 years = 6.91%; 55-64 years = 16.00%), driven by cardiomyopathy and/or HF (20-54 years = 3.90%; 55-64 years = 9.78%).

Conclusions: We found increased long-term risks of cardiomyopathy and/or HF and ischemic heart disease among breast cancer survivors treated with anthracyclines and/or trastuzumab and increased cardiomyopathy and/or HF risk among women aged younger than 65 years.