The possible causal relationship between COVID-19 and imaging markers of cerebral small vessel disease: a Mendelian randomization study.

Objectives: Observational studies have suggested that SARS-CoV-2 infection may increase the burden of cerebral small vessel disease (CSVD). This study aims to explore the causal correlation between COVID-19 and the imaging markers of CSVD using Mendelian randomization (MR) methods.

Methods: Summary-level genome-wide association study (GWAS) statistics for COVID-19 susceptibility, hospitalization, and severity were utilized as proxies for exposure. Large-scale meta-analysis GWAS data on three neuroimaging markers of white matter hyperintensity, lacunar stroke, and brain microbleeds, were employed as outcomes. Our primary MR analysis employed the inverse variance weighted (IVW) approach, supplemented by MR-Egger, weighted median, and MR-PRESSO methods. We also conducted multivariable MR analysis to address confounding bias and validate the robustness of the established causal estimates. Comprehensive sensitivity analyses included Cochran's Q test, Egger-intercept analysis, MR-PRESSO, and leave-one-out analysis.

Results: The MR analysis revealed a significant causal correlation between the severity of COVID-19 and an increased risk of lacunar stroke, as demonstrated by the IVW method (OR_ivw = 1.08, 95% CI: 1.03-1.16, p_ivw = 0.005, FDR = 0.047). Nevertheless, no causal correlations were observed between COVID-19 susceptibility or hospitalization and any CSVD imaging markers. The robustness and stability of these findings were further confirmed by multivariable MR analysis and comprehensive sensitivity analyses.

Discussion: This study provides compelling evidence of a potential causal effect of severe COVID-19 on the incidence of lacunar stroke, which may bring fresh insights into the understanding of the comorbidity between COVID-19 and CSVD.