Efficacy and safety of neoadjuvant therapy for HR-positive/HER2-negative early breast cancer: a Bayesian network meta-analysis.

Background: Neoadjuvant treatment for hormone receptor-positive/human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative (HR+/HER2-) breast cancer is controversial and requires a comprehensive analysis for optimal therapy assessment. Therefore, a two-step Bayesian network meta-analysis (NMA) was performed to compare the efficacy and safety of different neoadjuvant regimens.

Research design and methods: Phase II/III randomized clinical trials comparing various neoadjuvant therapies for HR+/HER2- breast cancer were included. NMA and pairwise meta-analyses were conducted using Stata (version 14), R (version 4.2.3), and Review Manager 5.4.

Results: Twenty-eight studies (5,625 patients) were eligible. NMA of objective response rate (ORR) indicated the highest SUCRA for chemotherapy (CT) and chemotherapy with anthracycline (CT(A)). Pathologic complete response (PCR) NMA demonstrated significant PCR improvement with chemotherapy regimens containing programmed cell death protein-1 and programmed cell death ligand-1 inhibitors (PD-1i/PD-L1i) and poly ADP-ribose polymerase inhibitors (PARPi). Combined analysis considering both the ORR and safety highlighted CT(A)'s efficacy and toxicity balance.

Conclusions: CT(A) and CT showed improved ORR compared with alternative regimens. CT(A) combined with PD-1/PD-L1 or PARP inhibitors significantly increased PCR rates. Comprehensive assessment of both ORR and safety indicated that CT(A) represents an optimal neoadjuvant therapy for HR+/HER2- breast cancer, whereas AI + CDK4/6 inhibitors rank solely behind chemotherapy.

Registration: PROSPERO Registration: CRD42024538948. International Platform of Registered Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis Protocols (INPLASY) registration number INPLASY202440092.