气候变化背景下沿海社区生计的脆弱性:基于指数的评估

Milton Kumar Saha , AKM Abdul Ahad Biswas , Md. Faisal
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引用次数: 0

摘要

孟加拉国沿海社区的生计正受到气候变化和自然灾害的严重影响,这主要是因为他们严重依赖对气候敏感的自然资源。本研究采用两种方法评估孟加拉国沿海社区的脆弱性:生计脆弱性指数(LVI)和生计脆弱性指数-IPCC 方法。通过家庭调查获得的原始数据被用于计算脆弱性指数,避免了对二手数据和气候模型的依赖。结果表明,Dhulasar 和 Dalbuganj 联 盟极其脆弱,生计战略、水、自然灾害和气候多变性以及健康是主要因素。Dhulasar 和 Dalbuganj 受自然灾害和气候多变性的影响最大,而 Lata Chapli 联盟的适应能力最低。有趣的是,"低脆弱性指数 "和 "低脆弱性指数-IPCC "方法得出了相反的结果,达尔布甘杰极其脆弱,而拉塔查普利最不脆弱。研究发现,自然灾害和气候多变性的暴露程度,对健康、食物和营养、水和土地的敏感性,以及社会人口因素和生计策略方面的适应能力,都会影响脆弱性。研究建议,政策措施应侧重于降低敏感性、提高适应能力以及满足沿海社区边缘化群体的特殊需求。为降低脆弱性,建议加强社会人口概况、社会网络和生计活动的多样化。需要进一步开展研究,以更好地了解和应对气候多变性和气候变化对沿海生计系统的影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Livelihood vulnerability of coastal communities in context of the climate change: A index-based assessment

The livelihoods of coastal communities in Bangladesh are being significantly impacted by climate change and natural hazards, primarily due to their heavy reliance on climate-sensitive natural resources. This study assesses the vulnerability of coastal communities in Bangladesh using two approaches: the Livelihood Vulnerability Index (LVI) and the LVI-IPCC approach. Primary data obtained from household surveys were used to calculate the vulnerability indices, avoiding reliance on secondary data and climate models. The results show that Dhulasar and Dalbuganj unions are extremely vulnerable, with livelihood strategies, water, natural hazards and climate variability, and health being the major contributing factors. The exposure to natural hazards and climate variability is highest in Dhulasar and Dalbuganj, while Lata Chapli union exhibits the lowest adaptive capacity. Interestingly, the LVI and LVI-IPCC approaches yield opposite results, with Dalbuganj being extremely vulnerable and Lata Chapli being the least vulnerable. Exposure to natural hazards and climate variability, sensitivity to health, food and nutrition, water, and land, and adaptive capacity in terms of socio-demographic factors and livelihood strategies were found to influence vulnerability. The study suggests that policy measures should focus on reducing sensitivity, improving adaptive capacity, and addressing the specific needs of marginalized groups in coastal communities. Enhancing socio-demographic profiles, social networks, and diversification of livelihood activities are recommended for reducing vulnerability. Further research is needed to better understand and address the impacts of climate variability and change on coastal livelihood systems.

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