中国城市发展模式的时空演变:动态与解释

IF 2.9 3区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES
Wenzheng Li, Stephan Schmidt
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文研究了 2002 年至 2019 年中国 269 个地级市城市空间结构的时空演变。我们的分析发现,在此期间,主要由于人口增长和政策环境的支持,中国 25 个特大城市呈现出更加多中心化的趋势。然而,中小城市的演化路径却相当复杂多样,一些城市变得更加多中心化,而大多数城市则坚持单中心化的发展轨迹。在这些情况下,人口增长通常与单中心模式相关联,其特点是城市核心的快速扩张,而多中心发展则主要归因于支持次中心出现的特定空间政策。我们的结论是,多中心发展虽然可能适用于特大城市以缓解规模不经济,但可能不太适合中小城市,因为它可能会限制与聚集经济相关的增长。我们建议,区域空间政策的制定和实施应考虑当地的历史轨迹和背景因素。最后,我们提出了一个风格化框架,以更准确地反映中国地级市城市空间结构演变的多样性和复杂性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The spatial-temporal evolution of urban development patterns in Chinese cities: Dynamics and interpretations

This paper examines the spatial-temporal evolution of urban spatial structure across 269 Chinese prefectural cities from 2002 to 2019. Our analysis identifies a consistent trend toward a more polycentric configuration in the 25 Chinese mega-cities during this period, primarily due to population growth and a supportive policy environment. However, the evolutionary pathways of small- and medium-sized cities unfolded in a rather complex and diverse manner, with some becoming more polycentric while the majority adhering to a monocentric trajectory. In these cases, population growth is usually associated with a more monocentric pattern, characterized by rapid expansion of the urban core, while polycentric development is primarily attributed to specific spatial policies that support the emergence of subcenters. We conclude that polycentric development, while potentially suitable for mega-cities to alleviate diseconomies of scale, may be less appropriate for small- and medium-sized cities as it may constrain growth associated with agglomeration economies. We suggest that the development and implementation of regional spatial policy should be considerate of local historical paths and contextual factors. Finally, we propose a stylized framework to more accurately reflect the diverse and complex nature of urban spatial structure evolution in Chinese prefectural cities.

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来源期刊
Growth and Change
Growth and Change Multiple-
CiteScore
6.40
自引率
3.10%
发文量
55
期刊介绍: Growth and Change is a broadly based forum for scholarly research on all aspects of urban and regional development and policy-making. Interdisciplinary in scope, the journal publishes both empirical and theoretical contributions from economics, geography, public finance, urban and regional planning, agricultural economics, public policy, and related fields. These include full-length research articles, Perspectives (contemporary assessments and views on significant issues in urban and regional development) as well as critical book reviews.
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