把关人的两难选择:政治选择还是团队努力

IF 4.8 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS
Jon H. Fiva , Federica Izzo , Janne Tukiainen
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引用次数: 0

摘要

政党在选举中发挥着至关重要的把关作用,包括控制选举资源、候选人招募和选举名单的组成。在做出这些战略选择时,政党既要鼓励候选人投入竞选,又要努力为自己中意的候选人争取优势。我们利用挪威地方选举制度的一个特点来研究政党如何权衡利弊,即政党可以在原本开放的名单中为某些候选人提供有利位置。我们的理论揭示了政党的事前选举实力会影响其战略决策。值得注意的是,对于更受欢迎的政党来说,这种权衡较弱,这使得它们可以在不影响政党整体表现的情况下,为其心仪候选人的当选提供便利。我们的经验表明,道德风险的担忧是真实存在的,大党派确实更有可能利用自己的力量让一些候选人安全当选。大党的优势还不止于此:保护特定候选人能使政党在选举后的讨价还价中取得不成比例的有利结果。这些发现为更广泛的政治代表、政策结果和党内动态揭示了新的见解。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The gatekeeper’s dilemma: Political selection or team effort

Political parties play a crucial gatekeeping role in elections, including controlling electoral resources, candidate recruitment, and electoral list compositions. In making these strategic choices, parties aim to encourage candidates to invest in the campaign, while also trying to secure advantages for their preferred candidates. We study how parties navigate this trade-off using a specific feature of the Norwegian local electoral system in which parties can give advantaged positions to some candidates in an otherwise open list. Our theory reveals that parties’ ex-ante electoral strength impacts their strategic decisions. Notably, the trade-off is weaker for more popular parties, allowing them to facilitate the election of their preferred candidates without compromising the party’s overall performance. We show empirically that the moral hazard concern is real, and that larger parties are indeed more likely to use their power to make some candidates safe. The advantage of large parties extends further: safeguarding specific candidates enables parties to achieve disproportionately favorable outcomes in post-electoral bargaining. These findings reveal new insights for political representations, policy outcomes, and intra-party dynamics more broadly.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
14.10
自引率
2.00%
发文量
139
审稿时长
70 days
期刊介绍: The Journal of Public Economics aims to promote original scientific research in the field of public economics, focusing on the utilization of contemporary economic theory and quantitative analysis methodologies. It serves as a platform for the international scholarly community to engage in discussions on public policy matters.
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