基于模拟的黑海生态系统生态风险评估

IF 1.3 4区地球科学 Q4 OCEANOGRAPHY

Oceanology Pub Date : 2024-04-22 DOI:10.1134/s0001437024010119

N. V. Solovjova, I. V. Kovalyova

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引用次数: 0

摘要

摘要--文章介绍了对黑海三个陆架区域面临不同外部压力组合的生态风险进行模拟研究的结果。模拟风险计算是针对浮游植物总量进行的，同时考虑到了从观测数据中获得的生物量值的年内变化。结果表明，生态风险与浮游植物的年内状态有很大关系，同时还可以计算出生态风险的允许影响概率。后者确定了可能出现第二种误差的区域，这对于确保陆架资源开发中的生态安全具有重要的现实意义。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

Simulation-Based Ecological Risk Assessment of the Black Sea Ecosystem

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Simulation-Based Ecological Risk Assessment of the Black Sea Ecosystem

Abstract—

The article presents the results of simulation research of the ecological risk for three shelf areas of the Black Sea exposed to different combinations of external stressors. Simulated risk calculations were performed for the aggregated phytoplankton taking into account the intra-annual variations in biomass values obtained from observation data. The results revealed a significant dependence of the ecological risk on the intra-annual state of phytoplankton and also made it possible to calculate the dependence of the permissible probability of impacts on ecological risk. The latter identified areas of probable errors of the second kind, which is of practical importance for ensuring ecological safety in the shelf resources development.

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来源期刊

Oceanology 地学-海洋学

CiteScore

2.00

自引率

20.00%

发文量

审稿时长

6-12 weeks

期刊介绍： Oceanology, founded in 1961, is the leading journal in all areas of the marine sciences. It publishes original papers in all fields of theoretical and experimental research in physical, chemical, biological, geological, and technical oceanology. The journal also offers reviews and information about conferences, symposia, cruises, and other events of interest to the oceanographic community.