2012-2021 年中国福建省乙型肝炎的时空分析

Shuo Yin , Shenggen Wu , Jingru Huang , Shutong Ren , Weijiang Xie , Xian'e Peng
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引用次数: 0

摘要

背景福建省是中国报告的乙型肝炎病毒感染发病率最高的省份之一。本研究旨在为福建省预防和控制乙型肝炎提供理论框架,并评估该地区乙型肝炎的流行趋势和时空分布模式。采用空间自相关分析、趋势面分析和时空扫描统计来确定县级的空间和聚集模式。结果2012-2021年福建乙肝平均报告发病率为14.46/10,000人,报告病例数为583,262例。经年龄调整后的乙肝报告发病率从2012年的17.44/10,000人降至2021年的11.88/10,000人,年均降幅为4.5%。乙肝病例具有明显的时空聚集特征,高发区位于福建东部。时空扫描统计显示,乙肝病例报告率存在四级聚集。第一级聚集区包括闽侯、鼓楼、晋安、台江等 9 个区县。结论福建省乙肝发病率呈下降趋势,但福建省乙肝病例的空间集群已被发现,闽东地区仍存在乙肝高发区。密切监测乙型肝炎发生的总体规律并实施有针对性的控制和预防策略非常重要。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

Spatial-temporal analysis of hepatitis B in Fujian Province, China in 2012–2021

Spatial-temporal analysis of hepatitis B in Fujian Province, China in 2012–2021

Background

Fujian Province has one of the highest reported incidences of hepatitis B virus infection in China. This study aimed to provide a theoretical framework for preventing and controlling hepatitis B in Fujian Province, and to assess the trends and the spatial-temporal distribution patterns of hepatitis B in this region.

Methods

Data on hepatitis B cases were extracted from the National Notifiable Infectious Disease Surveillance System. Spatial autocorrelation analysis, trend surface analysis, and spatial-temporal scanning statistics were used to identify the spatial and aggregation patterns at the county level. The Joinpoint was used to assess the reported incidence trends.

Results

The average reported incidence of hepatitis B in Fujian from 2012 to 2021 was 14.46/10,000 population, with 583,262 notified cases. The age-adjusted reported incidence of hepatitis B decreased from 17.44/10,000 population in 2012 to 11.88/10,000 population in 2021, with an average reduction in the annual percentage change of 4.5%. There were obvious spatial-temporal aggregation characteristics in hepatitis B cases, and a high-incidence area was located in eastern Fujian. Spatio-temporal scanning statistics revealed four levels of aggregation of hepatitis B reporting rates. The first level of aggregation area included Minhou, Gulou, Jin'an, Taijiang, and nine other districts and counties.

Conclusion

The incidence of hepatitis B is declining in Fujian Province. Spatial clusters of hepatitis B cases in Fujian Province were identified, and high-risk areas in eastern Fujian still exist. Closely monitoring the general patterns in the occurrence of hepatitis B and implementing focused control and preventative strategies are important.

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