演习模式:适应多变、不确定、复杂和敏捷(VUCA)世界的新视角,改善形势分析并支持决策

IF 20.1 1区 管理学 Q1 INFORMATION SCIENCE & LIBRARY SCIENCE
Christine Dugoin-Clément
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引用次数: 0

摘要

致力于环境分析和预测的传统模式有助于决策者加强学术界和专业界的决策。然而,尽管这些模式很有用,但似乎并不奏效,俄罗斯入侵乌克兰或非洲大陆出现的各种危机都缺乏预见性就说明了这一点。因此,与现实的对抗使它们无法预测演变,使这些模式无法应对由技术发展、新现象和使世界日益动荡、不确定、复杂和灵活的发展所引发的新挑战。本文提出了一个混合定性分析和定量分析的包容性模型,建议采用不同的方法来应对这种复杂性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Drill model: A renewed perspective adapted to the volatile, uncertain, complex and agile (VUCA) world to improve situation analysis and support decision-making

Traditional models that are dedicated to environment analysis and anticipation help deciders reinforce decision-making in both the academic and professional worlds. Nevertheless, as useful as these models are, it seems they are not effective, as shown by the lack of anticipation of the Russian invasion of Ukraine or of the different crisis observed in the African continent. Consequently, confrontation with reality made them incapable of predicting evolution, making those models unable to answer the new challenge induced by technology development, new phenomena and the developments that made the world increasingly volatile, uncertain, complex, and agile. This paper offers suggestions for a different approach that helps to embrace this complexity by proposing an inclusive model mixing both qualitative and quantitative analysis.

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来源期刊
International Journal of Information Management
International Journal of Information Management INFORMATION SCIENCE & LIBRARY SCIENCE-
CiteScore
53.10
自引率
6.20%
发文量
111
审稿时长
24 days
期刊介绍: The International Journal of Information Management (IJIM) is a distinguished, international, and peer-reviewed journal dedicated to providing its readers with top-notch analysis and discussions within the evolving field of information management. Key features of the journal include: Comprehensive Coverage: IJIM keeps readers informed with major papers, reports, and reviews. Topical Relevance: The journal remains current and relevant through Viewpoint articles and regular features like Research Notes, Case Studies, and a Reviews section, ensuring readers are updated on contemporary issues. Focus on Quality: IJIM prioritizes high-quality papers that address contemporary issues in information management.
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