用电量的时间分层分析:土耳其背景下的回归和神经网络方法

Q3 Engineering
Si̇mge Yi̇ği̇t, Safiye Turgay, Çi̇ğdem Cebeci̇, Esma Sedef Kara
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究旨在将季节性和时间效应应用于土耳其的用电分析中,将其作为一个混合了回归和神经网络方法的案例。研究目标是增加对电力使用背后的特征和趋势力量的了解,从而为智能能源规划和监管提供明智的建议。通过比较和对比回归模型和神经网络模型,可以对每种模型的优缺点进行全面分析。此外,还对模型的局限性及其在预测长期用电模式方面的性能进行了研究。本研究的结果对电力预测技术有重大影响,对土耳其的政策制定者、规划者和公用事业公司也有重要意义。了解世界各地的用电情况对于制定可持续能源政策、提供资源以及维护国家可靠的智能能源网络非常重要。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Time-Stratified Analysis of Electricity Consumption: A Regression and Neural Network Approach in the Context of Turkey
This study aims to apply seasonality and temporal effects in the analysis of electricity consumption in Turkey as a case mixed with regression and neural network methodologies. The study goal is to increase knowledge about the features and trending forces behind electricity usage which provide informed recommendations for smart energy planning and regulation. Comparing and contrasting the regression and neural network models makes it possible to carry out a thorough analysis of the merits and demerits of each model. Moreover, the examination of the limits of the models and their performance in forecasting electricity consumption patterns over the long term is done. The results of this study have a significant impact on power forecasting techniques, and they have meaningful effects on the policymakers, planners and utilities in Turkey. Understanding the story of the use of electricity around the world is very important for the development of sustainable energy policies, resource provision, and the maintenance of reliable and smart energy networks in the country.
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来源期刊
WSEAS Transactions on Power Systems
WSEAS Transactions on Power Systems Engineering-Industrial and Manufacturing Engineering
CiteScore
1.10
自引率
0.00%
发文量
36
期刊介绍: WSEAS Transactions on Power Systems publishes original research papers relating to electric power and energy. We aim to bring important work to a wide international audience and therefore only publish papers of exceptional scientific value that advance our understanding of these particular areas. The research presented must transcend the limits of case studies, while both experimental and theoretical studies are accepted. It is a multi-disciplinary journal and therefore its content mirrors the diverse interests and approaches of scholars involved with generation, transmission & distribution planning, alternative energy systems, power market, switching and related areas. We also welcome scholarly contributions from officials with government agencies, international agencies, and non-governmental organizations.
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