加入欧盟对克罗地亚旅游业的影响

IF 2.9 Q2 HOSPITALITY, LEISURE, SPORT & TOURISM

European Journal of Tourism Research Pub Date : 2024-04-12 DOI:10.54055/ejtr.v37i.3342

Marina Tkalec

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引用次数: 0

摘要

克罗地亚旅游业是该国最重要的经济部门之一，本研究探讨了加入欧盟对克罗地亚旅游业的影响。利用反事实合成控制法，估算了 2013 年至 2021 年期间欧盟成员国身份对克罗地亚过夜游客的因果效应。结果表明，加入欧盟对克罗地亚过夜游客有巨大、积极和长期的影响，欧洲游客是旅游业增长的主要贡献者。在 COVID-19 之前的时期，观察到的游客数量与合成值之间的最大差异出现在 2017 年，克罗地亚额外接待了 300 万游客，比合成值多 23%。尽管这些结果是因地制宜的，但克罗地亚与一些欧盟候选国的相似性为欧洲一体化可能带来的旅游业结果提供了启示。

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The effect of EU membership on tourism in Croatia

This study examines the impact of EU membership on tourism in Croatia, one of the most important economic sectors in the country. Using the counterfactual synthetic control method, the causal effect of EU membership on overnight tourists in Croatia in the period from 2013 to 2021 is estimated. The results suggest there is a large, positive, and long-term effect of the EU joining on overnight visitors in Croatia, with European tourists being the main contributors to tourism growth. In the period before COVID-19, the maximum discrepancy between the observed number of tourists and the synthetic value was achieved in 2017, with Croatia receiving an additional 3 million visitors, or 23 percent more than the value of the synthetic. Although these results are context-specific, the resemblance of Croatia to some EU candidate countries provides insights into possible tourism outcomes of integration in Europe.

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来源期刊

European Journal of Tourism Research HOSPITALITY, LEISURE, SPORT & TOURISM-

CiteScore

5.00

自引率

8.70%

发文量

审稿时长

25 weeks

期刊介绍： The European Journal of Tourism Research is an open access academic journal in the field of tourism, published by Varna University of Management, Bulgaria. Its aim is to provide a platform for discussion of theoretical and empirical problems in tourism. Publications from all fields, connected with tourism such as tourism management, tourism marketing, tourism sociology, psychology in tourism, tourism geography, political sciences in tourism, mathematics, tourism statistics, tourism anthropology, culture and tourism, heritage and tourism, national identity and tourism, information technologies in tourism and others are invited.