用拉格朗日乘法器和遗传算法比较均值-方差模型的投资组合优化结果

Raynita Syahla, Dwi Susanti, H. Napitupulu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

进行投资组合优化是为了找到每种股票的最佳组合,目的是通过分散投资使收益最大化,同时使风险最小化。然而,问题在于投资多少比例的资金才能获得最低风险。在建立最优投资组合方面,一种被证明有效的方法是均值-方差模型。本研究的目的是比较使用拉格朗日乘数法和遗传算法优化均值-方差模型投资组合的结果。使用的数据是 2020 年 2 月至 2021 年 7 月期间 LQ45 指数成员的股票。根据研究结果,有五种股票组成了最优投资组合,即 ADRO、AKRA、BBCA、CPIN 和 EXCL 股票。拉格朗日乘数法生成的最优投资组合的风险为 0.000606,收益为 0.000726。而使用遗传算法的风险为 0.000455,收益为 0.000471。因此,遗传算法更适合优先考虑低风险的投资者。与此同时,拉格朗日乘数法产生的风险相对较高,因此不太适合预期风险较小的投资者。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Comparison of Investment Portfolio Optimization Result of Mean-Variance Model Using Lagrange Multiplier and Genetic Algorithm
Investment portfolio optimization is carried out to find the optimal combination of each stock with the aim of maximizing returns while minimizing risk by diversification. However, the problem is how much proportion of funds should be invested in order to obtain the minimum risk. One approach that has proven effective in building an optimal investment portfolio is the Mean-Variance model. The purpose of this study is to compare the results of the Mean-Variance model investment portfolio optimization using Lagrange Multiplier method and Genetic Algorithm. The data used are stocks that are members of the LQ45 index for the period February 2020-July 2021. Based on the research results, there are five stocks that form the optimal portfolio, namely ADRO, AKRA, BBCA, CPIN, and EXCL stocks. The optimal portfolio generated by the Lagrange Multiplier method has a risk of 0.000606 and a return of 0.000726. Meanwhile, using the Genetic Algorithm resulted in a risk of 0.000455 and a return of 0.000471. Thus, the Genetic Algorithm method is more suitable for investors who prioritize lower risk. Meanwhile, the Lagrange Multiplier method produces a relatively higher risk, making it less suitable for investors who expect a small risk. 
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