{"title":"政治短期主义的条件性:民主国家的气候决策案例","authors":"Masakazu Ogami","doi":"10.17645/pag.7764","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"The literature on political short-termism holds that multiple factors in current democratic systems drive political short-termism, leading to delays in government responses to long-term policy challenges, such as global climate change. In this article, I argue that these factors do not necessarily work as drivers of political short-termism. To show this, I first review the literature on political short-termism and identify electoral cycles, voters’ policy preferences, and interest-group behavior as potential drivers of political short-termism. I then examine the influence of these potential drivers of political short-termism on climate policymaking, drawing on recent empirical studies. I find that elected governments and politicians can, in some cases, (1) have incentives to pursue climate policies in the run-up to elections, (2) build public support for climate policies, and (3) overcome organized opposition to climate legislation. These findings suggest that although electoral cycles, voters’ policy preferences, and interest-group behavior may induce political short-termism, such negative effects on policymaking are conditional on other variables.","PeriodicalId":51598,"journal":{"name":"Politics and Governance","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.5000,"publicationDate":"2024-04-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"The Conditionality of Political Short-Termism: The Case of Climate Policymaking in Democracies\",\"authors\":\"Masakazu Ogami\",\"doi\":\"10.17645/pag.7764\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"The literature on political short-termism holds that multiple factors in current democratic systems drive political short-termism, leading to delays in government responses to long-term policy challenges, such as global climate change. In this article, I argue that these factors do not necessarily work as drivers of political short-termism. To show this, I first review the literature on political short-termism and identify electoral cycles, voters’ policy preferences, and interest-group behavior as potential drivers of political short-termism. I then examine the influence of these potential drivers of political short-termism on climate policymaking, drawing on recent empirical studies. I find that elected governments and politicians can, in some cases, (1) have incentives to pursue climate policies in the run-up to elections, (2) build public support for climate policies, and (3) overcome organized opposition to climate legislation. These findings suggest that although electoral cycles, voters’ policy preferences, and interest-group behavior may induce political short-termism, such negative effects on policymaking are conditional on other variables.\",\"PeriodicalId\":51598,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Politics and Governance\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":2.5000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-04-24\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Politics and Governance\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"90\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.17645/pag.7764\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"社会学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"POLITICAL SCIENCE\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Politics and Governance","FirstCategoryId":"90","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.17645/pag.7764","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"POLITICAL SCIENCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
The Conditionality of Political Short-Termism: The Case of Climate Policymaking in Democracies
The literature on political short-termism holds that multiple factors in current democratic systems drive political short-termism, leading to delays in government responses to long-term policy challenges, such as global climate change. In this article, I argue that these factors do not necessarily work as drivers of political short-termism. To show this, I first review the literature on political short-termism and identify electoral cycles, voters’ policy preferences, and interest-group behavior as potential drivers of political short-termism. I then examine the influence of these potential drivers of political short-termism on climate policymaking, drawing on recent empirical studies. I find that elected governments and politicians can, in some cases, (1) have incentives to pursue climate policies in the run-up to elections, (2) build public support for climate policies, and (3) overcome organized opposition to climate legislation. These findings suggest that although electoral cycles, voters’ policy preferences, and interest-group behavior may induce political short-termism, such negative effects on policymaking are conditional on other variables.
期刊介绍:
Politics and Governance is an innovative offering to the world of online publishing in the Political Sciences. An internationally peer-reviewed open access journal, Politics and Governance publishes significant, cutting-edge and multidisciplinary research drawn from all areas of Political Science. Its central aim is thereby to enhance the broad scholarly understanding of the range of contemporary political and governing processes, and impact upon of states, political entities, international organizations, communities, societies and individuals, at international, regional, national and local levels. Submissions that focus upon the political or governance-based dynamics of any of these levels or units of analysis in way that interestingly and effectively brings together conceptual analysis and empirical findings are welcome. Politics and Governance is committed to publishing rigorous and high-quality research. To that end, it undertakes a meticulous editorial process, providing both the academic and policy-making community with the most advanced research on contemporary politics and governance. The journal is an entirely open-access online resource, and its in-house publication process enables it to swiftly disseminate its research findings worldwide, and on a regular basis.