时间价值与港口选择:针对巴西进口公司的方法

Felipe Souza , Cira Souza Pitombo , Dong Yang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

巴西港口的货物放行时间是影响企业竞争力的关键因素。本文分析了巴西东南部两个州的公司选择港口的过程:里约热内卢和米纳斯吉拉斯。我们使用了陈述偏好数据。估算了多项式 logit 模型和带误差成分的混合 logit 模型。我们分析了以下属性:税收、公路运输关税、船舶停靠、港口关税、海运关税和货物放行时间。里约热内卢的实验设计采用有效设计,米纳斯吉拉斯州的实验设计采用贝叶斯有效设计。对各州的港口选择行为进行了比较。每个州都计算了时间价值 (VOT),即公司愿意为减少一个单位(天)的港口货物放行时间而支付的费用。估计 RJ 州公司的时间价值为 387.45 雷亚尔/吨.天(77.49 波黑先令/吨.天),MG 州公司的时间价值为 364.93 雷亚尔/吨.天(72.98 波黑先令/吨.天)。结果表明,估计值可能会因公司规模和产品类型等特点而有所不同。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Value of time and port choice: An approach regarding import companies in Brazil

The cargo release time in Brazilian ports is a critical factor that impacts the competitiveness of companies. This paper analyzed the port choice process from companies in two states in the Southeast region of Brazil: Rio de Janeiro and Minas Gerais. We used Stated Preference data. Multinomial logit and mixed logit with error components models were estimated. We analyzed the following attributes: taxation, road transport tariff, ship calls, port tariff, sea freight tariff and cargo release time. The experimental designs were structured using an efficient design for Rio de Janeiro, and a Bayesian efficient design for Minas Gerais. A comparison of the port choice behavior was carried out between the states. For each state, the Value of Time (VOT) was calculated referring to the willingness of companies to pay for the reduction of one unit (day) of cargo release at ports. The estimated VOT for companies in RJ was R$/t.day 387.45 (77.49 U$S/t.day) and for companies in MG, it was R$/t.day 364.93 (72.98 U$S/t.day). The results indicate that the estimated values may vary according to characteristics, such as company size and product type.

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