菜农期望从气候服务中获得什么,以适应 2060 年的气候变化?巴黎地区的案例研究

IF 4 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES
Nabil Touili , Kevin Morel , Christine Aubry , Natalie de Noblet-Ducoudré
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引用次数: 0

摘要

气候服务是为许多部门提供适应气候变化信息的重要工具。对农业而言,气候变化对不同地区和不同作物的影响各不相同,农民对气候信息的需求也取决于当地的具体情况。本文旨在确定菜农对气候信息的需求,并结合巴黎地区的具体情况对这些需求进行讨论。本研究以巴黎地区三个地区的参与式研讨会为基础,利用法国气候服务机构提供的地区降尺度数据,探讨了以下问题:城市周边地区的菜农期望从气候服务机构获得哪些信息,以适应 2060 年的气候变化?通过与农业专家的参与式研讨会,我们根据农作物对高温、冬季温和气温、晚霜、低相对空气湿度、低降水量以及干旱、热浪和洪水等极端气候的脆弱性,建立了一套初步的气候变量。根据这组变量,向农民提供了近期(2021-2040 年)和远期(2041-2060 年)以及过去时期(1990-2020 年)的月度、季节和年度气候预测,并在 3 次参与式研讨会上进行了讨论。根据农民的反馈,我们对农民所需的气候信息进行了综合,并在最后一轮有农民和农业顾问参加的研讨会上进行了验证和进一步讨论。这项参与式研究得出了三大发现。第一项发现表明,蔬菜种植的适应需要气候信息和非气候信息。具体需求包括有关风速峰值和风向、土壤湿度、气候类似空间(或地点)以及城市规划法规(限制建造温室或隧道以适应气候变化的可能性)的信息。我们的第二个发现是,农民希望从气候服务中看到全面的气候状况,即几个相互关联的变量的整体组合,而不是单个变量精确而详细的变化。季节和年度时间尺度似乎与农民的适应战略最为相关(需要更精确信息的霜冻除外)。我们的第三个发现是,这些需求仍然是因地制宜的,取决于水的获取、市场需求(这里是巴黎)和城郊位置。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
What do vegetable farmers expect from climate services to adapt to climate change by 2060? A case study from the Parisian region

Climate services are an important tool providing information for many sectors to adapt to climate change. For agriculture, the impacts of climate change vary between regions and between crops, and farmers' needs for climate information are also determined by local context. The purpose of this paper is to identify the climate information needs of vegetable farmers, and to discuss these needs within the specific context of the Parisian region. Based on participatory workshops in three areas of the Parisian region, and using regional downscaled data from the French climate services, this study addresses the following question: what do vegetable farmers of a peri-urban area expect from climate services to adapt to climate change by 2060? Participatory workshops with agricultural expert allowed us to build a preliminary set of climate variables based on crops' vulnerability to high temperatures, mild temperature in winter, late frost, low relative air humidity, low precipitation, and climate extremes such as drought, heat waves and floods. Based on this set of variables climate projection on monthly, seasonal, and annual scales were provided to farmers for the near (2021–2040) and distant (2041–2060) future, as well as for past period (1990–2020) and discussed during 3 participatory workshops. Based on farmer’s feedbacks, we made a synthesis of climate information required by farmers which was validated and further discussed in a last round of workshops involving farmers and agricultural advisers. Three main findings emerge from this participatory study. Our first finding shows the need for both climate and non-climate information for vegetable farming adaptation. Specific needs include information on wind speed peaks and directions, soil moisture, climate analogous spaces (or sites), and urban planning regulations (constraining the possibility to build greenhouses or tunnels to adapt to climate change). Our second finding is that farmers expect from climate services to visualise a comprehensive climatic situation, that is, a whole conjunction of several inter-related variables, rather than precise and detailed variations of a single one. Seasonal and annual time scales seem to be the most relevant for farmers’ adaptation strategies (except for frost requiring more precise information). Our third finding is that these needs remain context-specific and depend on water access, the market demand (here Parisian), and the peri-urban location.

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来源期刊
Climate Services
Climate Services Multiple-
CiteScore
5.30
自引率
15.60%
发文量
62
期刊介绍: The journal Climate Services publishes research with a focus on science-based and user-specific climate information underpinning climate services, ultimately to assist society to adapt to climate change. Climate Services brings science and practice closer together. The journal addresses both researchers in the field of climate service research, and stakeholders and practitioners interested in or already applying climate services. It serves as a means of communication, dialogue and exchange between researchers and stakeholders. Climate services pioneers novel research areas that directly refer to how climate information can be applied in methodologies and tools for adaptation to climate change. It publishes best practice examples, case studies as well as theories, methods and data analysis with a clear connection to climate services. The focus of the published work is often multi-disciplinary, case-specific, tailored to specific sectors and strongly application-oriented. To offer a suitable outlet for such studies, Climate Services journal introduced a new section in the research article type. The research article contains a classical scientific part as well as a section with easily understandable practical implications for policy makers and practitioners. The journal''s focus is on the use and usability of climate information for adaptation purposes underpinning climate services.
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