表示热带太平洋风应力异常的 U-Net 模型及其与厄尔尼诺/南方涛动研究中间耦合模型的整合

IF 6.5 2区 地球科学 Q1 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
Shuangying Du, Rong-Hua Zhang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

厄尔尼诺-南方涛动(ENSO)是影响热带太平洋海洋-大气耦合系统的最强烈的年际气候模式,已经开发了许多动力学和统计模型来模拟和预测厄尔尼诺-南方涛动。在一些简化的海洋-大气耦合模式中,海面温度(SST)异常和风应力(τ)异常之间的关系可以通过统计方法(如奇异值分解(SVD))来构建。近年来,人工智能(AI)在气候建模中的应用展现出广阔的前景,基于 AI 的模型与动力学模型的集成也是活跃的研究领域。本研究构建了 U-Net 模型来表示热带太平洋 SSTA 与 τ 异常之间的关系;然后用 UNet 衍生的 τ 模型(称为 τUNet)来替代中间耦合模式(ICM)中原来基于 SVD 的 τ 模型,形成新的人工智能集成 ICM,称为 ICM-UNet。ICM-UNet 的模拟结果表明,它能够代表赤道太平洋海洋和大气异常场的时空变化。在纯海洋案例研究中,τ-UNet 导出的风应力异常场被用来强制 ICM 的海洋部分,其结果也表明对典型厄尔尼诺/南方涛动事件的模拟是合理的。这些结果证明了在厄尔尼诺/南方涛动建模研究中将人工智能衍生模型与基于物理的动力学模型相结合的可行性。此外,海洋动力学模式与基于人工智能的大气风模式的成功整合为海洋-大气相互作用模式研究提供了一种新方法。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
U-Net Models for Representing Wind Stress Anomalies over the Tropical Pacific and Their Integrations with an Intermediate Coupled Model for ENSO Studies

El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the strongest interannual climate mode influencing the coupled ocean-atmosphere system in the tropical Pacific, and numerous dynamical and statistical models have been developed to simulate and predict it. In some simplified coupled ocean-atmosphere models, the relationship between sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies and wind stress (τ) anomalies can be constructed by statistical methods, such as singular value decomposition (SVD). In recent years, the applications of artificial intelligence (AI) to climate modeling have shown promising prospects, and the integrations of AI-based models with dynamical models are active areas of research. This study constructs U-Net models for representing the relationship between SSTAs and τ anomalies in the tropical Pacific; the UNet-derived τ model, denoted as τUNet, is then used to replace the original SVD-based τ model of an intermediate coupled model (ICM), forming a newly AI-integrated ICM, referred to as ICM-UNet. The simulation results obtained from ICM-UNet demonstrate their ability to represent the spatiotemporal variability of oceanic and atmospheric anomaly fields in the equatorial Pacific. In the ocean-only case study, the τUNet-derived wind stress anomaly fields are used to force the ocean component of the ICM, the results of which also indicate reasonable simulations of typical ENSO events. These results demonstrate the feasibility of integrating an AI-derived model with a physics-based dynamical model for ENSO modeling studies. Furthermore, the successful integration of the dynamical ocean models with the AI-based atmospheric wind model provides a novel approach to ocean-atmosphere interaction modeling studies.

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来源期刊
Advances in Atmospheric Sciences
Advances in Atmospheric Sciences 地学-气象与大气科学
CiteScore
9.30
自引率
5.20%
发文量
154
审稿时长
6 months
期刊介绍: Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, launched in 1984, aims to rapidly publish original scientific papers on the dynamics, physics and chemistry of the atmosphere and ocean. It covers the latest achievements and developments in the atmospheric sciences, including marine meteorology and meteorology-associated geophysics, as well as the theoretical and practical aspects of these disciplines. Papers on weather systems, numerical weather prediction, climate dynamics and variability, satellite meteorology, remote sensing, air chemistry and the boundary layer, clouds and weather modification, can be found in the journal. Papers describing the application of new mathematics or new instruments are also collected here.
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