{"title":"气象对中国湖泊氮沉降源的影响及未来预测","authors":"Cheng Shi , Hao Guo , Xue Qiao , Jingsi Gao , Ying Chen , Hongliang Zhang","doi":"10.1016/j.jes.2024.03.050","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Lake ecosystems are extremely sensitive to nitrogen growth, which leads to water quality degradation and ecosystem health decline. Nitrogen depositions, as one of the main sources of nitrogen in water, are expected to change under future climate change scenarios. However, it remains not clear how nitrogen deposition to lakes respond to future meteorological conditions. In this study, a source-oriented version of Community Multiscale Air Quality (CMAQ) Model was used to estimate nitrogen deposition to 263 lakes in 2013 and under three RCP scenarios (4.5, 6.0 and 8.5) in 2046. Annual total deposition of 58.2 Gg nitrogen was predicted for all lakes, with 23.3 Gg N by wet deposition and 34.9 Gg N by dry deposition. Nitrate and ammonium in aerosol phase are the major forms of wet deposition, while NH<sub>3</sub> and HNO<sub>3</sub> in gas phase are the major forms of dry deposition. Agriculture emissions contribute to 57% of wet deposition and 44% of dry deposition. Under future meteorological conditions, wet deposition is predicted to increase by 5.5% to 16.4%, while dry deposition would decrease by 0.3% to 13.0%. Changes in wind speed, temperature, relative humidity (RH), and precipitation rates are correlated with dry and wet deposition changes. The predicted changes in deposition to lakes driven by meteorological changes can lead to significant changes in aquatic chemistry and ecosystem functions. Apart from future emission scenarios, different climate scenarios should be considered in future ecosystem health evaluation in response to nitrogen deposition.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":15788,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Environmental Sciences-china","volume":"151 ","pages":"Pages 100-112"},"PeriodicalIF":5.9000,"publicationDate":"2024-04-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Meteorological effects on sources and future projection of nitrogen deposition to lakes in China\",\"authors\":\"Cheng Shi , Hao Guo , Xue Qiao , Jingsi Gao , Ying Chen , Hongliang Zhang\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.jes.2024.03.050\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><p>Lake ecosystems are extremely sensitive to nitrogen growth, which leads to water quality degradation and ecosystem health decline. Nitrogen depositions, as one of the main sources of nitrogen in water, are expected to change under future climate change scenarios. However, it remains not clear how nitrogen deposition to lakes respond to future meteorological conditions. In this study, a source-oriented version of Community Multiscale Air Quality (CMAQ) Model was used to estimate nitrogen deposition to 263 lakes in 2013 and under three RCP scenarios (4.5, 6.0 and 8.5) in 2046. Annual total deposition of 58.2 Gg nitrogen was predicted for all lakes, with 23.3 Gg N by wet deposition and 34.9 Gg N by dry deposition. Nitrate and ammonium in aerosol phase are the major forms of wet deposition, while NH<sub>3</sub> and HNO<sub>3</sub> in gas phase are the major forms of dry deposition. Agriculture emissions contribute to 57% of wet deposition and 44% of dry deposition. Under future meteorological conditions, wet deposition is predicted to increase by 5.5% to 16.4%, while dry deposition would decrease by 0.3% to 13.0%. Changes in wind speed, temperature, relative humidity (RH), and precipitation rates are correlated with dry and wet deposition changes. The predicted changes in deposition to lakes driven by meteorological changes can lead to significant changes in aquatic chemistry and ecosystem functions. Apart from future emission scenarios, different climate scenarios should be considered in future ecosystem health evaluation in response to nitrogen deposition.</p></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":15788,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Journal of Environmental Sciences-china\",\"volume\":\"151 \",\"pages\":\"Pages 100-112\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":5.9000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-04-05\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Journal of Environmental Sciences-china\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"93\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1001074224001669\",\"RegionNum\":2,\"RegionCategory\":\"环境科学与生态学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Environmental Sciences-china","FirstCategoryId":"93","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1001074224001669","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES","Score":null,"Total":0}
Meteorological effects on sources and future projection of nitrogen deposition to lakes in China
Lake ecosystems are extremely sensitive to nitrogen growth, which leads to water quality degradation and ecosystem health decline. Nitrogen depositions, as one of the main sources of nitrogen in water, are expected to change under future climate change scenarios. However, it remains not clear how nitrogen deposition to lakes respond to future meteorological conditions. In this study, a source-oriented version of Community Multiscale Air Quality (CMAQ) Model was used to estimate nitrogen deposition to 263 lakes in 2013 and under three RCP scenarios (4.5, 6.0 and 8.5) in 2046. Annual total deposition of 58.2 Gg nitrogen was predicted for all lakes, with 23.3 Gg N by wet deposition and 34.9 Gg N by dry deposition. Nitrate and ammonium in aerosol phase are the major forms of wet deposition, while NH3 and HNO3 in gas phase are the major forms of dry deposition. Agriculture emissions contribute to 57% of wet deposition and 44% of dry deposition. Under future meteorological conditions, wet deposition is predicted to increase by 5.5% to 16.4%, while dry deposition would decrease by 0.3% to 13.0%. Changes in wind speed, temperature, relative humidity (RH), and precipitation rates are correlated with dry and wet deposition changes. The predicted changes in deposition to lakes driven by meteorological changes can lead to significant changes in aquatic chemistry and ecosystem functions. Apart from future emission scenarios, different climate scenarios should be considered in future ecosystem health evaluation in response to nitrogen deposition.
期刊介绍:
The Journal of Environmental Sciences is an international journal started in 1989. The journal is devoted to publish original, peer-reviewed research papers on main aspects of environmental sciences, such as environmental chemistry, environmental biology, ecology, geosciences and environmental physics. Appropriate subjects include basic and applied research on atmospheric, terrestrial and aquatic environments, pollution control and abatement technology, conservation of natural resources, environmental health and toxicology. Announcements of international environmental science meetings and other recent information are also included.