带疫苗接种的混合随机 SIS 流行病模型:无疾病状态的稳定性及其应用

IF 3.7 2区 计算机科学 Q2 AUTOMATION & CONTROL SYSTEMS
Nguyen T. Hieu , Dang H. Nguyen , Nhu N. Nguyen , Tran D. Tuong
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在本文中,我们考虑了一个在随机切换环境中接种疫苗的随机 SIS 流行病模型。该系统被表述为一个混合随机微分方程。我们提供了一个阈值,该阈值完全描述了系统的长期行为。结果表明,如果阈值为负数,则受感染类群的数量会趋近于零或发生灭绝。我们还得到了收敛速率。相反,如果阈值为正,则感染会流行。我们可以得到阈值的代数式,这有助于我们研究一些控制疾病的策略,如(i) 确定使人群远离疾病所需的最低疫苗接种率;(ii) 确定疫苗接种和治疗成本最低的策略。为了说明这些结果,我们还介绍了一些数学模拟和数值示例。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Hybrid stochastic SIS epidemic models with vaccination: Stability of the disease-free state and applications

In this paper, we consider a stochastic SIS epidemic model with vaccination in random switching environment. The system is formulated as a hybrid stochastic differential equation. We provide a threshold number that characterizes completely its longtime behavior. It turns out that if the threshold is negative, the number of the infected class converges to zero or the extinction happens. The rate of convergence is also obtained. In contrast, if the threshold is positive, the infection is endemic. We are able to obtain an algebraic formula for the threshold, which helps us to study some strategies for controlling the disease such as: (i) determining the minimum vaccination rate needed to keep the population from the disease and (ii) determining the strategy with minimum cost of vaccination and treatment. To illustrate the results, a number of mathematical simulations and numerical examples are also presented.

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来源期刊
Nonlinear Analysis-Hybrid Systems
Nonlinear Analysis-Hybrid Systems AUTOMATION & CONTROL SYSTEMS-MATHEMATICS, APPLIED
CiteScore
8.30
自引率
9.50%
发文量
65
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: Nonlinear Analysis: Hybrid Systems welcomes all important research and expository papers in any discipline. Papers that are principally concerned with the theory of hybrid systems should contain significant results indicating relevant applications. Papers that emphasize applications should consist of important real world models and illuminating techniques. Papers that interrelate various aspects of hybrid systems will be most welcome.
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