Jin Wang , Brandon J. Bethel , Wenhong Xie , Changming Dong
{"title":"基于改进的经验小波变换分解和长短期记忆网络的巨浪高度预测混合模型","authors":"Jin Wang , Brandon J. Bethel , Wenhong Xie , Changming Dong","doi":"10.1016/j.ocemod.2024.102367","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Due to strong non-linearity, ocean surface gravity waves are difficult to directly and accurately predict, despite their importance for a wide range of coastal, nearshore, and offshore activities. To minimize forecast errors, a hybrid combined improved empirical wavelet transform decomposition (IEWT) and long-short term memory network (LSTM) model has been proposed. Data from National Data Buoy Center buoys deployed in the North Pacific Ocean are taken as an example to verify the models. Wave forecasts using the LSTM, EWT-LSTM, and IWET-LSTM models are compared with the observations at 6, 12, 18, 24 and 48 h forecast windows. Consequently, IEWT-LSTM is superior to EWT-LSTM or LSTM models, especially for larger waves at longer long forecast windows.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":19457,"journal":{"name":"Ocean Modelling","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.1000,"publicationDate":"2024-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"A hybrid model for significant wave height prediction based on an improved empirical wavelet transform decomposition and long-short term memory network\",\"authors\":\"Jin Wang , Brandon J. Bethel , Wenhong Xie , Changming Dong\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.ocemod.2024.102367\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><p>Due to strong non-linearity, ocean surface gravity waves are difficult to directly and accurately predict, despite their importance for a wide range of coastal, nearshore, and offshore activities. To minimize forecast errors, a hybrid combined improved empirical wavelet transform decomposition (IEWT) and long-short term memory network (LSTM) model has been proposed. Data from National Data Buoy Center buoys deployed in the North Pacific Ocean are taken as an example to verify the models. Wave forecasts using the LSTM, EWT-LSTM, and IWET-LSTM models are compared with the observations at 6, 12, 18, 24 and 48 h forecast windows. Consequently, IEWT-LSTM is superior to EWT-LSTM or LSTM models, especially for larger waves at longer long forecast windows.</p></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":19457,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Ocean Modelling\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":3.1000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-04-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Ocean Modelling\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"89\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1463500324000544\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"地球科学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Ocean Modelling","FirstCategoryId":"89","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1463500324000544","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES","Score":null,"Total":0}
A hybrid model for significant wave height prediction based on an improved empirical wavelet transform decomposition and long-short term memory network
Due to strong non-linearity, ocean surface gravity waves are difficult to directly and accurately predict, despite their importance for a wide range of coastal, nearshore, and offshore activities. To minimize forecast errors, a hybrid combined improved empirical wavelet transform decomposition (IEWT) and long-short term memory network (LSTM) model has been proposed. Data from National Data Buoy Center buoys deployed in the North Pacific Ocean are taken as an example to verify the models. Wave forecasts using the LSTM, EWT-LSTM, and IWET-LSTM models are compared with the observations at 6, 12, 18, 24 and 48 h forecast windows. Consequently, IEWT-LSTM is superior to EWT-LSTM or LSTM models, especially for larger waves at longer long forecast windows.
期刊介绍:
The main objective of Ocean Modelling is to provide rapid communication between those interested in ocean modelling, whether through direct observation, or through analytical, numerical or laboratory models, and including interactions between physical and biogeochemical or biological phenomena. Because of the intimate links between ocean and atmosphere, involvement of scientists interested in influences of either medium on the other is welcome. The journal has a wide scope and includes ocean-atmosphere interaction in various forms as well as pure ocean results. In addition to primary peer-reviewed papers, the journal provides review papers, preliminary communications, and discussions.