从成人个人角度来看,每年接种 COVID-19 疫苗的经济效益如何?

Sarah M Bartsch, Kelly J O’Shea, Colleen Weatherwax, Ulrich Strych, Kavya Velmurugan, Danielle C John, Maria Elena Bottazzi, Mustafa Hussein, Marie F Martinez, Kevin L Chin, Allan Ciciriello, Jessie Heneghan, Alexis Dibbs, Sheryl A Scannell, Peter J Hotez, Bruce Y Lee
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引用次数: 0

摘要

背景 随着许多企业/组织不再强制要求接种 COVID-19 疫苗,现在应由个人决定是否接种任何新的加强剂/更新疫苗。方法 我们建立了一个马尔可夫模型,从个人角度说明在美国每年接种与不接种 COVID-19 疫苗可能产生的临床/经济结果。结果 对于一个 18-49 岁的人来说,只要预防严重急性呼吸系统综合征冠状病毒 2(SARS-CoV-2)感染的起始疫苗效力≥50%,且每周感染风险≥0.2%,那么以目前的价格(60 美元)接种疫苗,如果没有保险,平均可为个人节省 30-603 美元,如果有私人保险,可节省 4-437 美元。2%,相当于在 2023-2024 年冬季 Omicron SARS-CoV-2 变体条件下,一个人一天内与 9 个其他人互动,平均感染率为 10%。对于 50-64 岁的人来说,无保险和有保险分别可节省 111-1 278 美元和 119-1 706 美元。当个人已有 13.4% 的预防感染保护(如 9 个月前接种过疫苗)时,风险阈值会增加到≥0.4%(每天与 19 人互动)。结论 个人每年继续接种 COVID-19 疫苗具有临床和经济激励作用。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
What is the economic benefit of annual COVID-19 vaccination from the adult individual perspective?
Background With COVID-19 vaccination no longer mandated by many businesses/organizations, it is now up to individuals to decide whether to get any new boosters/updated vaccines going forward. Methods We developed a Markov model representing the potential clinical/economic outcomes from an individual perspective in the United States of getting versus not getting an annual COVID-19 vaccine. Results For an 18-49-year-old, getting vaccinated at its current price ($60) can save the individual on average $30-$603 if the individual is uninsured and $4-$437 if the individual has private insurance, as long as the starting vaccine efficacy against severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection is ≥50% and the weekly risk of getting infected is ≥0.2%, corresponding to an individual interacting with 9 other people in a day under Winter 2023-2024 Omicron SARS-CoV-2 variant conditions with an average infection prevalence of 10%. For a 50-64-year-old, these cost-savings increase to $111-$1,278 and $119-$1,706, for someone without and with insurance, respectively. The risk threshold increases to ≥0.4% (interacting with 19 people/day), when the individual has 13.4% pre-existing protection against infection (e.g., vaccinated 9 months earlier). Conclusion There is both clinical and economic incentive for the individual to continue to get vaccinated against COVID-19 each year.
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