机构是否改善了汇款对经济增长的贡献?面板数据分析

Hajer Habib
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文旨在检验 "改善治理可提高汇款对经济增长的响应 "这一假设。利用 12 个中东和北非(MENA)国家 2002 年至 2020 年的面板数据,通过系统广义矩方法(GMM)进行了各种估计,以检验内生性和未观察异质性问题。结果表明,由于移民汇款主要用于消费,因此与经济增长直接负相关。这增加了依赖的可能性,导致劳动力供应减少。治理综合指数与汇款之间的共同关系可能会缓和这种对经济增长的负面影响。然而,考虑到治理的单个维度,这表明只有汇款与控制腐败之间的相互作用才会产生积极而显著的影响。汇款与其他五个治理质量指标之间的交互作用似乎是负面的,且不显著。这表明,政治不稳定、政府效率低下和监管质量差会鼓励通过非正规渠道转移资金,从而阻碍中东和北非国家的经济增长。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Are Institutions Improving the Contribution of Remittances to Economic Growth? A Panel Data Analysis
This paper is to test the hypothesis that better governance can improve the response of remittances on economic growth. Using panel data for 12 Middle East and North Africa (MENA) countries over the period of 2002 to 2020, the various estimates were carried out by the system generalised method of moments (GMM) method to examine the problem of endogeneity, and unobserved heterogeneity. The results indicate that migrant remittances have a direct negative link to economic growth due to it being mainly used for consumption. This increases the likelihood of dependency, which leads to the reduction of labour supply. The joint relationship between the governance composite index, and remittances, may moderate this negative effect on economic growth. However, considering the individual dimensions of governance, this shows that only the interaction between remittances and the control of corruption gives a positive and significant impact. The interaction between remittances and the five other governance quality indicators appears to be negative and insignificant. This shows that political instability, ineffective government, and poor regulatory quality encourages money transfer through informal channels that thwart economic growth in MENA countries.
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