2019-2022 年期间印度尼西亚政府债券收益率的决定因素

Destyanah Husein, Endri Endri
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摘要

本研究旨在探讨印尼政府债券的收益率如何受到各种因素的影响,包括印尼央行利率、通货膨胀、外汇储备、印尼人寿保险集团(IHSG)和汇率。调查使用了从 2019 年到 2022 年的月度时间序列数据,重点关注 10 年期 SUN 的基准序列。使用 Eviews 13 进行数据分析,并采用 GARCH-M (1,1) 分析方法。研究结果表明,BI 利率对债券收益率有明显的正向显著影响。相比之下,通货膨胀对债券收益率的影响并不大。外汇储备对债券收益率有相当大的负面影响。另一方面,IHSG 对债券收益率没有显著影响。最后,汇率被认为对债券收益率有重要的积极影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Determinants of Indonesia Government Bonds Yield Period 2019-2022
This research seeks to examine how the yields of Indonesian government bonds are influenced by various factors, including the BI interest rate, inflation, foreign exchange reserves, IHSG, and exchange rates. The investigation utilizes monthly time series data spanning from 2019 to 2022, focusing on the benchmark series of 10-year SUN. Data analysis is carried out using Eviews 13, and the GARCH-M (1,1) analytical method is employed. The research findings reveal that the BI interest rate has a notably positive and significant effect on bond yields. In contrast, inflation does not exhibit a significant impact on bond yields. Foreign exchange reserves are found to have a considerable negative impact on bond yields. IHSG, on the other hand, does not demonstrate a significant influence on bond yields. Lastly, exchange rates are identified as having a meaningful positive impact on bond yields.
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