M. S. Mu'min, Misbahol Yaqin, Muhammad Syariful Anam
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引用次数: 0
摘要
能源向可再生能源过渡是实现可持续发展的关键因素。本研究回顾了可再生能源对东盟可持续发展的三个方面,即经济、社会和环境方面的影响。为量化这些方面,经济方面采用人均 GDP 作为替代指标,社会方面采用失业率作为替代指标,环境方面采用二氧化碳排放量作为替代指标。使用的数据是 1996-2020 年东盟 10 国的面板数据。采用集合均值组(PMG)估计技术来确定可再生能源与可持续发展各维度之间的关系。研究结果表明,从长期来看,可再生能源对可持续发展具有重要影响。具体而言,可再生能源能够刺激人均 GDP 水平,从而有可能成为东盟可持续经济增长的决定因素。此外,本研究的结果表明,从长远来看,可再生能源有能力减少二氧化碳排放。需要努力提高可再生能源的使用比例,以减轻环境退化的风险。然而,值得注意的是,我们的研究强调了能源转型对社会层面的不利影响,因为从长远来看,能源转型可能会推高失业率。这种影响可归因于劳动力市场的迁移和结构变化。可再生能源领域的新手可能面临流离失所的风险。因此,这项研究的意义在于强调需要采取包容性的方法来提高可再生能源的使用率。此外,还需要一个结构合理的政策框架,以鼓励更多的投资,并为可再生能源行业培养合格的劳动力。
Does energy transition matter to sustainable development in ASEAN?
The energy transition towards renewable sources represents a pivotal factor in pursuing sustainable development. This study reviews the impact of renewable energy on three aspects of sustainable development, namely economic, social, and environmental aspects in ASEAN. To quantify these aspects, GDP per capita proxies for the economic dimension, unemployment rates for the social dimension, and CO2 emissions for the environmental dimension. The data used is panel data of 10 ASEAN countries from 1996-2020. Pooled Mean Group (PMG) estimation technique is applied to identify the relationship between renewable energy and the dimensions of sustainable development. The study results reveal that renewable energy has a significant influence on sustainable development in the long run. Specifically, renewable energy is able to stimulate GDP per capita levels, thus potentially serving as a determinant of sustainable economic growth in ASEAN. Furthermore, the findings of this study suggest that renewable energy has the capacity to reduce CO2 emissions in the long run. Efforts to increase the share of renewable energy usage are needed to mitigate the risk of environmental degradation. However, it is noteworthy that our study underscores the adverse impact of the energy transition on the social dimension, as it can potentially drive-up unemployment rates in the long run. This impact can be attributed to labor market relocations and structural changes. Novice workers in the renewable energy sector may face the risk of displacement. Consequently, this study has implications that underscore the need for inclusive approaches to elevate the usage of renewable energy. Furthermore, a well-structured policy framework is needed to encourage more investments and prepare the competent workforce in the renewable energy sector.