坦桑尼亚的政府支出与经济增长

P. Magai, Rosemary Emmanuel Masele
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摘要

本研究探讨了政府支出对经济增长的影响,重点关注坦桑尼亚的卫生、基础设施、教育和农业。研究使用 STATA 软件对 1970-2020 年的数据进行了分析。政府在教育、卫生、农业和基础设施部门的支出为自变量,国内生产总值为因变量。研究采用瓦格纳国家活动递增定律和凯恩斯经济理论作为指导。进行了单位根检验和约翰森协整检验。约翰森协整检验结果表明,所有解释变量与经济增长之间不存在长期关系。然而,ARDL 模型显示,与基础设施、教育和农业支出相比,政府医疗卫生支出对经济增长的影响较小,而所有这些支出对经济增长的影响都较大。研究建议政府将更多的资源用于大型基础设施建设。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Government Expenditure and Economic Growth in Tanzania
This study examines the impact of government expenditure on economic growth, focusing on health, infrastructure, education, and agriculture in Tanzania. The data from 1970–2020 were analysed using the STATA software. Government expenditure on education, health, agriculture, and infrastructure sectors were the independent variables, while GDP was the dependent variable. Wagner’s law of increasing state activity and Keynesian economic theory were used to guide the study. Unit root test and Johansen co-integration test were conducted. The Johansen co-integration test results indicated the absence of a long-run relationship between all explanatory variables and economic growth. However, the ARDL model revealed that government health expenditure had a low effect on economic growth compared to infrastructure, education, and agriculture expenditures; all of which had higher effects. The study recommends that more government resources be spent on substantial infrastructure.
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