信德省小学生轮状病毒相关腹泻疾病负担估算

Jamil Ahmed, Umer Saeed, Asima Ayyub, Zoofishan Imran, Faheem Mahmood, Muhammad Irfan
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摘要

导言:人类轮状病毒(HRV)是一种常见的肠道病毒性腹泻疾病,间接或直接影响着低收入国家的在校儿童。关于巴基斯坦信德省小学饮用水供应中是否存在轮状病毒的信息不足:我们估算了通过饮用水感染轮状病毒相关腹泻的风险。研究进一步比较了不同类型水源中与 HRV 相关的腹泻风险:2022 年 2 月至 2022 年 12 月,在信德省 10 个具有代表性的地区进行了横断面调查。饮用水样本采集自信德省十个代表性地区的小学。这项研究是美国国际开发署资助的讲卫生运动项目(USPCASW 种子基金 P-II)的一部分:我们根据预先确定的选择标准,从小学挑选了 425 份饮用水样本。我们使用指标生物(即大肠杆菌)进行微生物风险定量分析,以预测轮状病毒可能带来的健康风险。数据用 SPSS 26 版进行输入和分析。图表使用 Arc GIS 版本 3 绘制。使用定量微生物风险评估 (QAMRA) 模型预测了发病率和死亡率。结果我们的数据显示,学龄儿童患 HRV 相关腹泻的最高日风险为每 10,000 名学龄儿童中有 11 人,年风险为 8.4%,最低风险估计为每 10,000 名儿童中有 1 人。使用 QAMRA 模型计算的轮状病毒疾病负担显示了腹泻的严重程度。大多数儿童(86%)表现为轻度腹泻,其次是重度腹泻,死亡概率小于<1%。信德省南部的小学生每天感染 HRV 的风险最高(估计为 7% 和 11%),每年的风险为 17.4% 至 40%:我们的研究得出结论,信德省小学的儿童饮用水质量较差。地表水源对学童造成与 HRV 相关的腹泻的风险最高。因此,强烈建议采用使用点饮用水处理系统。水、环境卫生和个人卫生(WASH)资源是相互关联的,因此每种资源都会对其他资源产生影响;因此,学校迫切需要投资提供充足的 WASH 设施,以阻止肠道病毒通过饮用水源传播。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Estimation of Rotavirus Associated Diarrheal Disease Burden Amongst Primary School Children of Sindh
Introduction: Human Rotavirus Virus (HRV) is amongst the common enteric viral diarrheal diseases that indirectly or directly influence school-going children in low-income countries. Inadequate information exists on the presence of rotavirus, with reference to drinking water supplies of primary schools in Sindh, Pakistan. Aims & Objectives: We estimated the risk of rotavirus-associated diarrhea through drinking water. The study further compared the HRV-associated risk of diarrheal disease by a type of water source. Place and Duration of Study: A cross-sectional survey was conducted in ten representative districts of Sindh from February 2022 to December 2022. The samples for drinking water were collected from primary schools of ten representative districts of Sindh. This study was a part of the WASH Project funded by USAID (USPCASW Seed Grant P-II) Material & Methods: We selected 425 samples of drinking water from primary schools based on pre-defined selection criteria. We used a Quantitative Microbial Risk Analysis using indicator organisms, i.e., E. coli, to predict the possible health risks of rotavirus. Data was entered and analyzed on SPSS version 26. The graphs were developed using Arc GIS version 3. Morbidity and mortality were predicted using the Quantitative Microbial Risk Assessment (QAMRA) model. Results: Our data revealed that the highest daily risk of HRV-associated diarrhea amongst school children was 11 per 10,000 schoolchildren, resulting in 8.4% annual risk, and the minimum risk was estimated to be 1 in 10,000 children. The burden of diseases for rotavirus using the QAMRA model revealed the severity of the diarrhea. Majority of the children presented with mild diarrhea (86%) followed by severe, and the probability of death was less than <1%. The daily risk of HRV infection was highest (estimated to be 7 and 11%) in pupils of Southern Sindh, with an annual risk of 17.4% to 40%. Conclusion: Our study concluded that the children in the primary schools of Sindh were exposed to poor drinking water quality. The surface water source poses the highest risk of HRV-related diarrhea to school children. Thus, it is highly recommended that point-of-use drinking water treatment systems be adopted. The water sanitation and hygiene (WASH) resources are interlinked, so each resource impacts the other; hence, schools urgently need to invest in providing adequate WASH facilities to stop enteric virus transmission through drinking water sources.
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