使用 AHP 和 VIKOR 方法识别影响高层建筑项目延误风险的因素并进行排序

Mehran Vahedi Nikbakht, M. Gheibi, Hassan Montazeri, Reza Yeganeh Khaksar, R. Moezzi, Amir Vadiee
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引用次数: 0

摘要

建筑项目,尤其是商业项目,需要周密的规划和控制,以确保在预定的预算和时间范围内取得成功。本研究在伊朗马什哈德进行,采用了层次分析法(AHP)和 VIKOR 方法来识别和排序影响高层建筑项目延误的因素。该研究以 40 个项目为样本,强调了我们研究方法的全面性。项目选择的特征尺度包括社会重要性(不同的应用包括文化中心、经济适用房倡议和城市更新促进社会公平)、规模(住宅项目中少于和多于 20 个单元)和多样性(混合用途开发、包容性基础设施和文化娱乐空间),有助于对施工延误进行全面分析。项目经理和工程师专家通过两份调查问卷提供了真知灼见,并对他们的回答进行了深入分析。我们的研究结果不仅强调了有助于项目成功的因素的重要性,还对这些因素对延误可能性的影响进行了排序。研究显示,这些因素对成本、时间和项目质量的负面影响各不相同。时间是影响最大的参数,对成本的影响约为成本的 6 倍,对质量的影响约为质量的 9 倍。承包商财力薄弱、财政和信贷资源分配延迟、项目资源分配不足、承包商技术和执行力薄弱以及缺乏适当的实施和项目控制被认为是造成延误的最重要因素。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Identification and Ranking of Factors Affecting the Delay Risk of High-Rise Construction Projects Using AHP and VIKOR Methods
Construction projects, especially those for commercial purposes, require thorough planning and control to ensure success within predetermined budgets and timelines. This research, conducted in Mashhad, Iran, employs the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and VIKOR methods to identify and rank factors influencing delays in high-rise projects. The study, based on a sample of 40 projects, emphasizes the comprehensive nature of our research method. The scale for features in project selection includes societal importance (with different applications including cultural hubs, affordable housing initiatives, and urban renewal for social equity), size (less and more than 20 units in residential projects), and diversity (mixed-use development, inclusive infrastructure, and cultural and recreational spaces), contributing to a comprehensive analysis of construction delays. Expert project managers and engineers provided insights through two questionnaires, and their responses underwent thorough analysis. Our findings not only underscore the significance of factors contributing to project success but also rank their impact on the likelihood of delays. The study reveals that the negative effects of these factors on cost, time, and project quality vary. Time emerges as the most influential parameter, with approximately six times more impact on cost and nine times more on quality. Contractor financial weakness, delays in allocating financial and credit resources, insufficient project resource allocation, contractor technical and executive weakness, and a lack of proper implementation and project control are identified as the most important factors contributing to delays.
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