在加拿大环境部全球确定性天气预报系统中实现全天空微波湿度探测信道同化

IF 2.8 3区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
M. Shahabadi, Mark Buehner
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在加拿大环境和气候变化部(ECCC)的全球确定性预报系统(GDPS)的4D-EnVar系统中,受云影响的微波湿度探测辐射被排除在同化之外。这是因为目前的辐射传递模式无法考虑这些频率下冰冻水介质的散射效应。除了将观测运算器升级为 RTTOV-SCATT 外,还对质量控制、偏差校正和 4D-EnVar 同化组件进行了修改,以便对 GDPS 海洋上空的微波湿度探测仪(MHS)第 2-5 频道观测数据进行全天空同化。RTTOV-SCATT 的输入剖面图扩展到包括液体云、冰云和云分数剖面图,用于模拟和同化水域上空的微波湿度探测仪(MHS)观测数据。与晴空试验相比,在全天空试验中,通道 2 同化的 MHS 观测数据的数量最多增加了 35%,通道 3-5 的增加幅度较小,这主要是因为新同化了受云层影响的观测数据。在全天空实验中,观测到的 GPSRO 折射率观测值与使用背景状态的相应模拟值之间的差异stddev 在 9 公里以下的对流层低层有所减小。根据无线电探空仪观测结果进行的预报验证表明,在北半球域对流层 72 小时和 120 小时预报范围内,全天空实验的位势高度、温度和水平风的 stddev 误差在统计上显著减少了 1%。根据 ECMWF 分析对预报进行的验证也表明,在 72 小时和 120 小时预报范围内,全天空实验的温度和水平风的带状平均误差 stddev 有小幅改善。这项工作计划于 2023 年秋季在 GDPS 中投入运行。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Implementation of All-sky Assimilation of Microwave Humidity Sounding Channels in Environment Canada’s Global Deterministic Weather Prediction System
Cloud-affected microwave humidity sounding radiances were excluded from assimilation in 4D-EnVar system of the Global Deterministic Prediction System (GDPS) at Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC). This was due to the inability of the current radiative transfer model to consider the scattering effect from frozen hydrometeors at these frequencies. In addition to upgrading the observation operator to RTTOV-SCATT, quality control, bias correction, and 4D-EnVar assimilation components are modified to perform all-sky assimilation of Microwave Humidity Sounder (MHS) channels 2-5 observations over ocean in the GDPS. The input profiles to RTTOV-SCATT are extended to include liquid cloud, ice cloud, and cloud fraction profiles for the simulation and assimilation of MHS observations over water. There is a maximum 35% increase in number of channel 2 assimilated MHS observations with smaller increases for channels 3-5 in the all-sky compared to the clear-sky experiment, mostly because of newly assimilated cloud-affected observations. The stddev of difference between the observed GPSRO refractivity observations and the corresponding simulated values using the background state was reduced in lower troposphere below 9 km in the all-sky experiment. Verifications of forecasts against the radiosonde observations show statistically significant reductions of 1% in stddev of error for geopotential height, temperature, and horizontal wind for all-sky experiment between 72- and 120- hr forecast ranges in troposphere in Northern Hemisphere domain. Verifications of forecasts against ECMWF analyses also show small improvements in zonal mean of error stddev for temperature and horizontal wind for all-sky experiment between 72- and 120-hr forecast ranges. This work is planned for operational implementation in the GDPS in Fall 2023.
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来源期刊
Monthly Weather Review
Monthly Weather Review 地学-气象与大气科学
CiteScore
6.40
自引率
12.50%
发文量
186
审稿时长
3-6 weeks
期刊介绍: Monthly Weather Review (MWR) (ISSN: 0027-0644; eISSN: 1520-0493) publishes research relevant to the analysis and prediction of observed atmospheric circulations and physics, including technique development, data assimilation, model validation, and relevant case studies. This research includes numerical and data assimilation techniques that apply to the atmosphere and/or ocean environments. MWR also addresses phenomena having seasonal and subseasonal time scales.
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