社会政策扩展中的全球化和自由化:检验巴西的补偿和效率假设

IF 1.6 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE
Gibrán Cruz-Martínez
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文研究了巴西福利制度在 20 世纪 70 年代以来面对日益自由化和全球化的四种潜在战略。我们检验了自由化和经济全球化是否会损害社会支出的扩张(效率假说或竞相逐低假说),或者福利制度的扩张是否是对自由化和全球化造成的波动的回应(补偿假说)。我们对 1970 年至 2015 年的面板数据进行了时间序列回归分析。我们控制了经济因素(财富和 GDP 增长)和政治因素(左翼力量和下议院政党的有效竞争)。在分析期间,我们发现福利制度采取了不同的策略。不过,从长期来看,有两种策略占主导地位:当考虑到全球化的影响时,是一种新自由主义战略(效率假说);当考虑到自由化的影响时,是一种嵌入式新自由主义战略(补偿假说)。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Globalization and Liberalization in Social Policy Expansion: Testing the Compensation and Efficiency Hypotheses in Brazil
This article examines four potential strategies of the Brazilian welfare system in the face of increasing liberalization and globalization since the 1970s. We test whether liberalization and economic globalization hurt the expansion of social expenditure (the efficiency hypothesis or race to the bottom hypothesis) or whether the welfare system expands as a response to the volatility caused by liberalization and globalization (compensation hypothesis). We employ time-series regression analysis to panel data from 1970 to 2015. We controlled for economic (wealth and GDP growth) and political factors (strength of the left and effective competition of parties in the lower house). We identify different strategies followed by the welfare system through the period analyzed. However, two strategies are dominant in the long run: A neoliberal strategy when the impact of globalization is considered (efficiency hypothesis) and an embedded neoliberal strategy when the effect of liberalization is pondered (compensation hypothesis).
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.00
自引率
0.00%
发文量
13
审稿时长
8 weeks
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