经济动荡条件下乌克兰社会经济排斥的财政问题

G. Likhonosova, Iskra Nencheva, Taner Ismailov, A. Gorka-Chowaniec, Milen Mitkov
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摘要

目的。乌克兰社会经济排斥现象研究的相关性是由乌克兰经济动荡因素数量的增加所决定的,这是对金融安全不确定性程度增加和乌克兰债务指标增长的回应。本文旨在通过对实际经济动荡的金融解释棱镜,总结和介绍乌克兰社会经济排斥现象在不同层面表现的原因和形式。方法/途径。研究基于专家对国家预算状况、国家债务数额、国际金融援助数额的现代理论和方法、监管和立法方面的审查和评估;使用了辩证法、科学知识的方法和原则、统计和经济分析工具。研究结果研究结果为证实社会经济排斥现象的规律性和算法奠定了基础,这种排斥现象是社会紧张局势、财政义务和公共债务额与国家国内生产总值之比增长的结果。研究了全球主要出口国出口潜力的变化趋势,以此作为预测财政能力和对外借款依赖性的标准。从该指标对公债规模和国家经济集约发展可能性的影响角度,分析了公债还本付息的成本。结果表明,考虑到动荡的熵逻辑规律,有必要不依赖于社会经济和金融体系的单一发展轨迹,而是依赖于一系列最有可能的发展情景,包括那些不太可能出现的情景。研究成果的实用价值在于为乌克兰摆脱系统性危机提出了一系列建议,这些建议是通过对其主导思想进行质的改变来实现的:在金融市场上的代表性、新目标方向架构的构建,这些都为寻求积极的协同效应形成了新的发展矢量方向。结论 .已经确定,平息社会经济排斥现象的主要手段是制定和遵守国家战略,以减少国家债务、 履行国家保障和社会义务,这将保证社会参与、社会公正以及与民众签订的社会契约的经济效 益。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Financial aspects of socio-economic rejection in Ukraine in conditions of economic turbulence
Objectives. The relevance of the study of socio-economic rejection in Ukraine is determined by the increase in the number of factors of turbulence in the economy of Ukraine as a response to the degree of increasing uncertainty of financial security and the growth of Ukraine's debt indicators. The purpose of the article is to summarize and present the causes and forms of the phenomenon of socio-economic rejection in Ukraine at various levels of its manifestation through the prism of financial interpretation of the actual turbulence of the economy. Methods/Approach. The research was based on expert reviews and assessments of the state of the state budget, the amount of state debt, modern theoretical and methodological, regulatory and legislative aspects of the amount of international financial assistance; methods of dialectics, methods and principles of scientific knowledge, tools of statistical and economic analysis are used. Results. The obtained results of the research created a basis for substantiating the regularity and algorithms of the manifestation of the phenomenon of socio-economic rejection as a result of the growth of social tension, financial obligations and the ratio of the amount of public debt to the size of the country's gross domestic product. The trends of changes in the export potential of key global exporters were studied as criteria for forecasting financial capacity and dependence on external borrowing. The cost of public debt service was analyzed from the point of view of the impact of this indicator on the size of the public debt and the possibility of intensive development of the country's economy. It was established that, taking into account the laws of turbulent entropy logic, it is necessary to rely not on one trajectory of the development of the socio-economic and financial system, but on a set of the most likely development scenarios, including those that are unlikely. The practical value of the research results is related to a number of proposals for Ukraine's exit from the systemic crisis through qualitative changes in its leading idea: representation on the financial market, construction of the architecture of new target orientations, which form a new vector direction of development for the search for positive synergistic effects. Conclusions . It has been established that the primary means of leveling the manifestations of socio-economic rejection is the formation and observance of a state strategy for reducing the state debt, compliance with state guarantees, social obligations, which will guarantee social involvement, social justice and the economic effectiveness of the social contract with the population.
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