新消防车的投资分析:购买或租赁选择案例研究

Dannys Setyadi Wibawa, Subiakto Sukarno
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引用次数: 0

摘要

PKT 作为一家具有高潜在危险性的石化企业,将遵守法规和标准作为应急准备和响应的优先事项。除了满足自身需求外,PKT 的消防和救援部门还通过年费合作计划为周边四家公司提供应急服务。为了加强应急响应服务,PKT 进行了一次评估,确定需要增加一辆配备最新技术的消防车。为了确定最合适的方案,PKT 正在考虑购买或租用新的消防车。利用卫生和安全服务的收入进行了财务模型分析。财务可行性分析考虑了净现值、内部收益率和贴现投资回收期等参数,得出了可行的结果。购买方案表现出更好的经济价值,预测净现值为 569,276,495 印尼盾,内部收益率为 11.56%(高于 10.5%的贴现率),贴现回收期为 9.35 年。利用龙卷风图和蜘蛛图进行的敏感性分析表明,客户或合资公司的年费对项目的财务 业绩影响最大,其次是人力成本。年费增加 20% 会导致净现值大幅增加 6,639,013,466 印尼盾,而减少 20% 则会导致净现值大幅减少(-5,500,460,477 印尼盾)。同样,人力成本增加 20% 会导致净现值减少(-3,500,609,676 印尼盾)。-3,500,609,667.根据敏感性分析,年费和人力成本是影响购买方案的两个重要因素。为本研究提出的建议还包括识别劳动力成本的增长并控制人力成本。在增加人力成本的同时,必须增加收入。此外,还建议探索吸引更多客户的机会,特别是尚未与 PKT 签订协议的工业园区内的公司。通过实施这些建议并确保成本控制,PKT 可以优化其应急响应服务,并保持财务上的可持续运营。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Investment Analysis of New Fire Truck: A Case Study of Purchase or Rent Option
PKT, as a petrochemical company with high potential hazards, prioritizes emergency preparedness and response by complying with regulations and standards. In addition to serving its own needs, PKT’s fire and rescue department also provides emergency services to four neighboring companies through an annual fee cooperation scheme. To enhance the emergency response services, PKT conducted an evaluation and identified the need for an additional fire truck unit with up-to-date technology. To determine the most suitable option, PKT is considering purchasing or renting the new fire truck units. A financial modeling analysis was conducted using income from health and safety services. The financial feasibility analysis, considering parameters such as NPV, IRR, and discounted payback period, resulted in a feasible outcome. The Purchase option exhibited better economic value, with a predicted NPV of Rp. 569,276,495, an IRR of 11.56% (higher than the discount rate of 10.5%), and a discounted payback period of 9.35 years. Sensitivity analysis, using tornado and spider charts, revealed that the annual fee from clients or joint venture companies had the most significant impact on the project’s financial performance, followed by manpower costs. A 20% increase in annual fees led to a significant increase in NPV Rp. 6,639,013,466, while a 20% decrease resulted in a significant decrease in NPV (−Rp. 5,500,460,477). Similarly, a 20% increase in manpower costs resulted in a decreased NPV of Rp. −3,500,609,667. Based on the sensitivity analysis, the two significant factors influencing the purchase option were identified as the annual fee and manpower cost. Recommendations that are also put forward for this study are identification to anticipate increases in labor costs and to keep manpower costs under control. The increase in manpower costs must be accompanied by an increase in income. Exploring opportunities to attract additional clients, particularly companies in the industrial complex that do not yet have an agreement with PKT, is also advised. By implementing these recommendations and ensuring cost control, PKT can optimize its emergency response services and maintain a financially viable operation.
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