战略管理中认知方法的挑战与发展

Albert V. Soskovets
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摘要

鉴于教育领域的激烈竞争、经济因素的压力、对学生培训的高要求以及终端到终端的数字化,在现代动态世界中管理作为复杂系统的教育组织是一项非同小可的任务。这反过来又决定了需要使用新的模式和方法,从战略角度制定和论证管理决策。认知建模就是其中的一种方法,它可以让我们根据一系列与当前形势相对应的相互关联的因素,为事件的发展建立一个情景。认知建模是在构建图模型的基础上研究形势发展的一种有效方法。它使研究和预测某一对象的状态成为可能;其构成要素包括:自我发展、外部影响建模和有目的的形势发展(受控发展)。认知模型具有模拟模型的优点,但更易于开发。本文旨在探讨在教育组织战略管理中发展认知方法的问题和机遇。研究分析了在根据选定的控制因素形成一组情景模式以模拟问题情境发展趋势的过程中使用认知方法的可能性。还概述了教育组织战略管理中认知建模的各个阶段。其中特别关注教育组织在某些环境干扰影响下可能出现的潜在情景的冲动建模。此外,还提出了对认知模型的要求,满足这些要求将提高其在教育组织战略管理决策过程中的准确性和效率。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Challenges and Development of Cognitive Methods in Strategic Management
Managing an educational organization as a complex system in the modern dynamic world is a non-trivial task, given the fierce competition in the educational space, the pressure of economic factors, high requirements for student training and end-to-end digitalization. This, in turn, predetermines the need to use new models and approaches to the development and justification of management decisions in a strategic perspective. One of these approaches is cognitive modeling, which allows us to establish a scenario for the development of events under a set of interrelated factors corresponding to the current situation. Cognitive modeling is an effective ap-proach to studying the development of a situation based on the construction of a graph model. It makes it pos-sible to study and predict the state of a certain object; its constituent elements are: self-development, modeling of external influences and purposeful development of the situation (controlled development). The cognitive model has the advantages of a simulation model, but is easier to develop. The purpose of the article is to con-sider the problems and opportunities for the development of cognitive methods in the strategic management of an educational organization. The study analyzed the possibilities of using cognitive methods in the process of forming a set of scenarios to model trends in the development of a problem situation based on selected control factors. The stages of cognitive modeling in the strategic management of an educational organization are also outlined. Particular attention is paid to impulse modeling of potential scenarios in which an educational organi-zation may find itself under the influence of certain environmental disturbances. In addition, requirements for the cognitive model are formulated, the fulfillment of which will improve its accuracy and efficiency in the pro-cess of making strategic management decisions for an educational organization.
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