基于聚类的光伏发电选址太阳辐照和温度属性评估:印度尼西亚爪哇-巴厘地区案例

Y. Tanoto, G. S. Budhi, Sean Frederick Mingardi
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摘要

本研究介绍了基于聚类的太阳能属性评估,利用 K-均值和基于密度的带噪声空间聚类应用(DBSCAN),对 2005 年至 2022 年期间基于每小时的长期直射和漫射辐照、环境温度和太阳能光伏发电输出的数据集进行年均单属性和三属性聚类,以确定潜在的太阳能光伏发电站地点。三属性聚类使利益相关者能够更好地了解一个集群的特征,具体方法是在一个地区或集群中集体识别三种太阳能属性以及每种属性的大小。这些信息构成了聚类,表明这些属性对不同聚类的太阳能光伏输出功率具有不同的影响。尽管 k-means 是调查光伏电站潜在位置的有效方法,但 DBSCAN 为用户提供了实现类似目标的另一种方法。在使用 k-means 和 DBSCAN 对直接辐照度进行三属性聚类时,年平均值最高的聚类的 18 年平均值非常接近,分别为 0.305 kW/m2 和 0.310 kW/m2。结果发现,只有 6 年的直接辐照年平均值低于 0.305 kW/m2。这一发现意味着,从长远来看,在所有适合建立光伏电站的地区,太阳能资源的直接辐照量通常都会超过 0.3 千瓦/平方米/兆瓦的装机容量。虽然研究重点是印度尼西亚爪哇-巴厘地区,但研究结果和方法似乎对政策制定者具有更广泛的意义,特别是在发展中国家,因为太阳能光伏发电被认为是可持续能源发电的一种选择。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Clustering-based assessment of solar irradiation and temperature attributes for PV power generation site selection: A case of Indonesia’s Java-Bali region
This study presents clustering-based assessments of solar attributes for locating potential solar photovoltaic (PV) power plant sites using k-means and density-based spatial clustering of applications with noise (DBSCAN) by examining the yearly average single-attribute and three-attribute clustering on a dataset of long-term hourly-based direct and diffuse irradiation, ambient temperature, and solar PV power output from 2005 to 2022. Three-attribute clustering enables stakeholders to better understand the characteristics of a cluster by collectively identifying three solar attributes and the magnitude of each attribute in an area or cluster. The presence of this information, which constitutes the clusters, suggests that these attributes have different effects on solar PV output power in different clusters. Although k-means is an effective method for investigating potential locations for PV power plant placements, DBSCAN offers users an alternative method for accomplishing a similar goal. In the case of three-attribute clustering of direct irradiation with k-means and DBSCAN, the 18-year mean value of clusters with the highest yearly average value is achieved at very similar values of 0.305 kW/m2 and 0.310 kW/m2, respectively. It turns out that only six years of direct irradiation had an annual mean value of less than 0.305 kW/m2. This finding implies that in the long run, the solar resources in terms of direct irradiation will typically surpass 0.3 kW/m2/MW installed capacity over all areas suitable for PV power plants. While focusing on the Java-Bali region, Indonesia, the findings, and methods appear to be of broader interest to policymakers, particularly in developing countries where solar PV is considered an option for sustainable energy generation.
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