Loss-of-Life Analyses Based on Modified Arrhenius and Relative Aging Rate for Non-Thermally Upgraded Paper in Oil-Immersed Transformer

This study evaluates the Loss-of-Life (LOL) based on the modified relative aging rate of an Oil Natural Air Natural (ONAN) transformer with voltage and power ratings of 132/33 kV and 60 MVA. The study’s methodology included the determination of the Hotspot Temperature (HST) based on the differential equation in IEC 60076-7. The loading and ambient temperature profiles for HST determination are forecasted based on the Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA). Next, a new relative aging rate was developed based on the Arrhenius equation, considering the pre-exponential factors governed by oxygen, moisture in paper, and acids at different content levels. The LOL was computed based on the new relative aging rate. The study’s main aim is to examine the impact of pre-exponential factors on the LOL based on modified Arrhenius and relative aging rate. The results indicate that the LOLs for different conditions increase as the oxygen, moisture, low molecular weight acid (LMA), and high molecular weight acid (HMA) increase. The LOLs are 46 days, 1,354 days, and 2,662 days in the presence of 12,000 ppm, 21,000 ppm, and 30,000 ppm of oxygen. In 1%, 3%, and 5% moisture, the LOLs are 477 days, 2,799 days, and 7,315 days. At 1% moisture, the LOL is 1,418 days for LMA, while for HMA, it is 122 days. The LMA has the highest impact on the LOL compared to other aging acceleration factors.