气候变化对尼泊尔的威胁:自然灾害与全球冲突边界

Balkrishna Karki
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引用次数: 0

摘要

尼泊尔坐落在雄伟的喜马拉雅山脉中,地理位置独特,地质构造微妙。这使其容易受到不断升级的环境威胁,主要是由全球气候变化引起的不利因素。这些气候逆境不仅破坏了生态平衡,还为多重冲突前沿创造了空间。本研究的主要目的是深入探讨气候挑战(尤其是山洪、冰川湖溃决、干旱、山体滑坡和其他灾难性灾害)可能引发的多方面冲突,包括对稀缺资源的争夺、决策过程和外国势力的既得利益。本研究旨在全面了解气候引发的灾害事件及其在冲突起源中的重要作用。本研究采用定性研究设计,使用比较分析工具,调查过去二十年中由这些灾害引发的冲突。本研究将把尼泊尔的独特情况与全球其他地区的情况进行深入比较。在历史回顾和分析中,我将重点关注南苏丹、卢旺达、叙利亚、南亚和东南亚等地区,在这些地区,由气候引发的因素,如严重的水资源和粮食短缺,引发了社区紧张局势和其他基于资源的冲突。在尼泊尔境内,我将对气候变化导致的具体案例进行详细的历史分析。这项研究旨在弥补气候变化与冲突动态之间的知识差距,为全面资源管理、减轻灾害风险和积极预防冲突提供可行的见解。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Threats of Climate Change in Nepal: Natural Catastrophes and Global Conflict Frontiers
Nepal, nestled amidst the majestic Himalayas, is uniquely positioned with its delicate geological makeup. This renders it vulnerable to escalating environmental threats, primarily driven by global climate change-induced adversities. These climatic adversities not only disrupt the ecological balance but also create a space for multiple conflict frontiers. The primary objective of this research is to delve into the multifaceted conflicts that include competition for scarce resources, decision-making process, and vested interest of foreign powers that may arise from the climatic challenges especially flash floods, glacier lake outbursts, droughts, landslides, and other catastrophic disasters. The study aims to provide a comprehensive understanding of climatic-induced disaster events and their significant role in the origin of conflicts. Employing a qualitative research design using the tool of comparative analysis, the study investigates the conflicts triggered by these disasters of the past two decades. The study will draw insightful parallels between Nepal's unique situation and other global regions. I will spotlight regions like South Sudan, Rwanda, Syria, and, South and Southeast Asia where climate-induced factors, such as acute water and food shortages, have ignited community tensions and other resource-based conflicts in the historical review and analysis. Within Nepal's borders, I will undertake a detailed historical analysis of the specific cases due to climate change. The study aims to bridge the knowledge gap between climate change and conflict dynamics, offering actionable insights for holistic resource management, disaster risk mitigation, and proactive conflict prevention.
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