汇率与资本市场工具--以 19 世纪科维德大流行之前和期间的瑞士为例进行分析

Cezary Bolek, Monika Bolek
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摘要

文章的目的本文旨在介绍影响外汇汇率的因素,并研究在 COVID-19 大流行之前和期间这些因素与瑞士股票和债券指数之间的关系。文章验证了所研究的关系因大流行病危机引起的动荡而发生变化的假设。研究方法。为验证假设,对线性和非线性函数进行了分析,并计算了所研究工具之间的皮尔逊相关指数。研究结果。分析结果发现,瑞士法郎汇率指数与股票指数之间的关系是非线性的,而瑞士法郎汇率指数与债券指数之间的关系是线性的。大流行前的相关系数表明,瑞士法郎汇率指数与所研究的资本市场指数之间关系密切,此外,与股票指数的关系为正,与债券指数的关系为负。研究发现,在大流行病期间,与债券指数的相关性发生了变化,变成了正相关。分析的动机与瑞士法郎受到关注有关,因为许多金融决策都与瑞士法郎有关。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Exchange Rates and Capital Market Instruments – Analysis Based on the Example of Switzerland before and during the Covid-19 Pandemic
The purpose of the article. The aim of the article is to present factors influencing foreign exchange rates and to examine the relationship between them and stock and bond indices in Switzerland in the period before and during the COVID-19 pandemic. The hypothesis that the studied relationships changed as a result of the turmoil caused by the pandemic crisis was verified. Methodology. To verify the hypothesis, linear and non-linear functions were analyzed, and Pearson's correlation indices between the examined instruments were calculated. Results of the research. As a result of the analysis, it was found that the relationship between the CHF exchange rate index and stock indices is non-linear, and the relationship between the CHF exchange rate index and bond indices is linear. Correlation coefficients before the pandemic indicated strong relationships between the CHF exchange rate index and the examined capital market indices, and moreover, the relationship with stock indices was positive and with bond indices negative. It was found that during the pandemic, the correlation with bond indices changed and became positive. The motivation of the analysis is related to the spotlight on a Swiss franc as a result of numerous financial decisions related to this currency.
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