对信号灯控制交叉路口车道内小贩进出车道行为的加速故障时间建模。

IF 2.3 4区 医学 Q2 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH
Philip Kofi Alimo, Lawrencia Agen-Davis, Ling Wang, Wanjing Ma
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引用次数: 0

摘要

车道内摆卖是指商贩间歇性地进入信号灯控制的交叉路口,向司机和乘客兜售杂货。研究表明,小贩会受到交通伤害,但由于缺乏对他们在信号灯控制交叉路口进出车道行为的定量分析,因此很难改善交通安全。本研究分析了车道内小贩(1)在红色信号灯亮起后 30 秒内进入车道,(2)在绿色信号灯亮起后 30 秒内离开车道,以及(3)在绿色信号灯时间内受伤概率的重要预测因素。基于无人机的轨迹数据是从加纳阿克拉一个选定的信号灯十字路口收集的。评估小贩行为时使用了包含伽马脆性的 Weibull 加速失效时间持续模型。总体而言,大多数小贩都有闯红灯行为,并因此受到交通伤害。车速的增加,尤其是超过 20 公里/小时的车速,使小贩的受伤风险大大增加。值得注意的是,随着车速的增加,小贩进入车道的时间明显减少。小贩离开车道的时间明显受排队长度和交通流量的影响。因此,安全从业人员除了采取有利于穷人的社会干预措施外,还可以加强交通管制和控制方法,以消除信号灯路口小贩摆卖的积极性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Accelerated failure time modeling of in-lane street hawkers' lane entry and exit behaviors at signalized intersections.

In-lane street hawking is the intermittent entry of signalized intersections by traders to sell groceries to drivers and passengers. Studies have shown that hawkers get exposed to traffic injuries but the lack of quantitative analysis of their lane entry and exit behaviors in signalized intersections makes it difficult to improve traffic safety. This study analyzes the significant predictors of in-lane street hawkers' (1) lane entry within 30 s after the red signal illumination, (2) lane exit within 30 s after the green signal illumination, and (3) probability of getting injuries during the green signal time. Drone-based trajectory data were collected from a selected signalized intersection in Accra, Ghana. A Weibull accelerated failure time duration model incorporating Gamma frailty was used to evaluate hawkers' behaviors. Overall, the majority of hawkers exhibited red-light running behaviors exposing them to traffic injuries. An increase in traffic speed, especially beyond 20 km/h, exposed hawkers to injury risks significantly. Notably, hawkers' lane entry decreased significantly as the traffic speed increased. Their lane exit duration was significantly predicted by the queue lengths and traffic volumes. Accordingly, safety practitioners can enhance traffic regulation and control methods in addition to pro-poor social interventions to demotivate hawking at signalized intersections.

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来源期刊
International Journal of Injury Control and Safety Promotion
International Journal of Injury Control and Safety Promotion PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH-
CiteScore
4.40
自引率
13.00%
发文量
48
期刊介绍: International Journal of Injury Control and Safety Promotion (formerly Injury Control and Safety Promotion) publishes articles concerning all phases of injury control, including prevention, acute care and rehabilitation. Specifically, this journal will publish articles that for each type of injury: •describe the problem •analyse the causes and risk factors •discuss the design and evaluation of solutions •describe the implementation of effective programs and policies The journal encompasses all causes of fatal and non-fatal injury, including injuries related to: •transport •school and work •home and leisure activities •sport •violence and assault
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