{"title":"美国的退休行为有多稳定?","authors":"Manasi Deshpande, Itzik Fadlon, Colin Gray","doi":"10.1162/rest_a_01151","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p>We study how increases in the U.S. Social Security full retirement age (FRA) affect benefit-claiming behavior and retirement behavior separately. Using long panels of Social Security administrative data, we implement complementary research designs of a traditional cohort analysis and a regression-discontinuity design. We find that while claiming ages strongly and immediately shift in response to increases in the FRA, retirement ages exhibit persistent “stickiness” at the old FRA of 65. We use several strategies to explore the likely mechanisms behind the stickiness in retirement, and we find suggestive evidence that employers play a role in workers’ responses to the FRA.</p>","PeriodicalId":516263,"journal":{"name":"The Review of Economics and Statistics","volume":"1 1","pages":"1-55"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2024-03-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"How Sticky Is Retirement Behavior in the United States?\",\"authors\":\"Manasi Deshpande, Itzik Fadlon, Colin Gray\",\"doi\":\"10.1162/rest_a_01151\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p>We study how increases in the U.S. Social Security full retirement age (FRA) affect benefit-claiming behavior and retirement behavior separately. Using long panels of Social Security administrative data, we implement complementary research designs of a traditional cohort analysis and a regression-discontinuity design. We find that while claiming ages strongly and immediately shift in response to increases in the FRA, retirement ages exhibit persistent “stickiness” at the old FRA of 65. We use several strategies to explore the likely mechanisms behind the stickiness in retirement, and we find suggestive evidence that employers play a role in workers’ responses to the FRA.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":516263,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"The Review of Economics and Statistics\",\"volume\":\"1 1\",\"pages\":\"1-55\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-03-19\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"The Review of Economics and Statistics\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1162/rest_a_01151\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"The Review of Economics and Statistics","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1162/rest_a_01151","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
摘要
我们分别研究了美国社会保障完全退休年龄(FRA)的提高如何影响福利申领行为和退休行为。利用社会保障管理数据的长面板,我们实施了传统队列分析和回归-不连续设计的互补研究设计。我们发现,虽然申领年龄会随着 FRA 的提高而立即发生强烈变化,但退休年龄却在 65 岁的旧 FRA 上表现出持久的 "粘性"。我们使用了多种策略来探讨退休年龄 "粘性 "背后的可能机制,并发现了雇主在工人对 FRA 的反应中发挥作用的暗示性证据。
How Sticky Is Retirement Behavior in the United States?
We study how increases in the U.S. Social Security full retirement age (FRA) affect benefit-claiming behavior and retirement behavior separately. Using long panels of Social Security administrative data, we implement complementary research designs of a traditional cohort analysis and a regression-discontinuity design. We find that while claiming ages strongly and immediately shift in response to increases in the FRA, retirement ages exhibit persistent “stickiness” at the old FRA of 65. We use several strategies to explore the likely mechanisms behind the stickiness in retirement, and we find suggestive evidence that employers play a role in workers’ responses to the FRA.