基于光利用效率的总初级生产力估算模型中模块内环境压力参数设计的不确定性分析

Cenliang Zhao, Wenquan Zhu
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摘要

陆地总初级生产力是碳循环的关键部分,而光照利用效率模型是一种广泛应用的估算工具。然而,由于光利用效率模型中环境胁迫参数的具体设计存在明显差异,即使是单一模块(如温度胁迫模块),光利用效率模型中模块内环境胁迫参数的不确定性仍不明确。因此,我们从现有文献中收集了光利用效率模型中主流的温度和水分胁迫参数,并采用兼容框架从三个方面对其进行了评估:(1)识别环境胁迫参数的异同;(2)评估不同环境胁迫参数组合下输入数据的误差传播效应;(3)评估环境胁迫参数的泛化能力。结果表明,温度胁迫参数表现出普遍的同质性(共享方差为 67.87%),而水胁迫参数则表现出明显的内部差异(共享方差低于 1.0%)。同时,我们发现目前在光利用效率模型构建中采用的灵活参数组合方法应更加谨慎,因为灵活的环境胁迫参数组合会影响从输入数据到最终总初级生产力估算的误差传播效应。此外,我们的分析还发现,环境胁迫参数的方差与模型估算精度密切相关,温度胁迫参数的独特方差与温度胁迫参数描述总初级生产力变化的能力之间存在正相关。总体而言,除高温生物群落外,目前的环境胁迫参数在大多数情况下都表现出了可接受的性能。这项研究为未来参数设计的发展奠定了基础,也可能会启发其他总初级生产力模型对经验环境因子的应用。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Uncertainty analysis of intra-module environmental stress parameter design in light use efficiency-based gross primary productivity estimation models
Terrestrial gross primary productivity is a key part in the carbon cycle, and the light use efficiency model is a widely employed tool for its estimation. However, since the specific designs of environmental stress parameters in light use efficiency models have obvious disparities, even for a single module (e.g., the temperature stress module), the uncertainties related to intra-module environmental stress parameters in light use efficiency models remain unclear. Thus, we gathered mainstream temperature and water stress parameters in light use efficiency models from existing publications, and employed a compatible framework to assess them from three perspectives: (1) identifying similarities and differences of environmental stress parameters; (2) evaluating the error propagation effect of input data under different environmental stress parameter combinations; and (3) assessing the generalization ability of environmental stress parameters. The results showed that the temperature stress parameters exhibited general homogeneity (shared 67.87% variance), while water stress parameters displayed noticeable internal variations (shared variance below 1.0%). Meanwhile, we revealed that the current flexible parameter combination method in light use efficiency model construction should be more cautious, since the flexible environmental stress parameter combinations would influence the error propagation effect from input data to final gross primary productivity estimations. In addition, our analysis found that the variance of environmental stress parameters was closely coupled to model estimation accuracy, and there was a positive relationship between the unique variance of temperature stress parameters and the ability of temperature stress parameters to describe gross primary productivity variation. Overall, the current environmental stress parameters demonstrated acceptable performance across most situations, except for biomes with high temperatures. This study provided a foundation towards the development of future parameter design, which may also inspire the application of empirical environmental factors in other gross primary productivity models.
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