利用跟踪调查估算无响应情况下的人口总数

IF 1.6 4区 数学 Q2 SOCIAL SCIENCES, MATHEMATICAL METHODS
Marius Stefan, M. Hidiroglou
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在本文中,我们提出了一些方法来尽量减少因单位无响应而造成的偏差。我们考虑了两阶段抽样设计,其中第二阶段是第一阶段未应答者的概率子样本。在这种情况下,我们提出了三种加权程序,以便在子样本中并非所有单位都作出回应时估计总数。加权是基于响应同质组(RHG)模型。根据 RHG 模型,我们得到了所有估计器的偏差和方差估计的理论结果。在模拟研究中,我们评估了这三种估计器的经验特性,以及基于两种常用程序的估计器的经验特性,这两种程序用于处理单阶段抽样设计中的单位非响应。这两种程序包括(i) 非响应校准加权,也称为一步法,以及 (ii) 非响应概率加权后再校准,也称为两步法。我们的研究结果表明,当假定的 RHG 模型出现重大偏差时,非响应跟踪估计器在偏差和覆盖率方面表现较好。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Estimation of a Population Total Under Nonresponse Using Follow-up
In this article, we propose methods to minimize bias due to unit nonresponse. We consider a two-phase sampling design where the second phase is a probability subsample of nonrespondents from the first phase. In this context, we propose three weighting procedures to estimate the total when not all units in the subsample respond. The weighting is based on the response homogeneity group (RHG) model. Given the RHG model, theoretical results on bias and variance estimation are obtained for all estimators. In a simulation study, we evaluate the empirical properties of the three estimators as well as of estimators based on two commonly used procedures to handle unit nonresponse in single-phase sampling design. These two procedures include: (i) nonresponse calibration weighting, also known as the one-step approach, and (ii) nonresponse probability weighting followed by calibration, also known as the two-step approach. Our results indicate that when there is significant deviation from the assumed RHG model, the nonresponse follow-up estimators perform better in terms of bias and coverage.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
4.30
自引率
9.50%
发文量
40
期刊介绍: The Journal of Survey Statistics and Methodology, sponsored by AAPOR and the American Statistical Association, began publishing in 2013. Its objective is to publish cutting edge scholarly articles on statistical and methodological issues for sample surveys, censuses, administrative record systems, and other related data. It aims to be the flagship journal for research on survey statistics and methodology. Topics of interest include survey sample design, statistical inference, nonresponse, measurement error, the effects of modes of data collection, paradata and responsive survey design, combining data from multiple sources, record linkage, disclosure limitation, and other issues in survey statistics and methodology. The journal publishes both theoretical and applied papers, provided the theory is motivated by an important applied problem and the applied papers report on research that contributes generalizable knowledge to the field. Review papers are also welcomed. Papers on a broad range of surveys are encouraged, including (but not limited to) surveys concerning business, economics, marketing research, social science, environment, epidemiology, biostatistics and official statistics. The journal has three sections. The Survey Statistics section presents papers on innovative sampling procedures, imputation, weighting, measures of uncertainty, small area inference, new methods of analysis, and other statistical issues related to surveys. The Survey Methodology section presents papers that focus on methodological research, including methodological experiments, methods of data collection and use of paradata. The Applications section contains papers involving innovative applications of methods and providing practical contributions and guidance, and/or significant new findings.
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