Deming Meng, Zhe-Min Tan, Jun Li, Zheng Ma, Yaodeng Chen
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The impact of the GIIRS-derived 3D horizontal wind assimilation on Typhoon Maria (2018) and Lekima (2019) analysis and forecast are evaluated. The results show that the assimilating GIIRS-derived 3D horizontal wind notably reduces the RMSEs of analysis and forecast, particularly in the U and V components. The improvement in accuracy of large-scale fields substantially enhances the forecasts of typhoons' track and maximum wind speed, as well as the central sea-level pressure. Moreover, the prediction of the spatial distribution and intensity for landfall precipitation is also improved. The detailed diagnoses of the Maria show that a more southerly subtropical high generated by the additional horizontal wind assimilation improves the rainfall spatial distribution, and the reasonable water vapor transportation caused by the improved dynamic conditions corrects the precipitation intensity. This work highlights the importance of dynamic information in TC forecasting and emphasizes the need for efficient and high-precision 3D wind measurements to improve NWP.</p>","PeriodicalId":15986,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres","volume":"129 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.4000,"publicationDate":"2024-03-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Added Value of Three-Dimensional Horizontal Winds From Geostationary Interferometric Infrared Sounder for Typhoon Forecast in a Regional NWP Model\",\"authors\":\"Deming Meng, Zhe-Min Tan, Jun Li, Zheng Ma, Yaodeng Chen\",\"doi\":\"10.1029/2024JD040736\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p>High temporal resolution geostationary hyperspectral infrared sounders can simultaneously profile atmospheric temperature and moisture, and track moisture features to provide 3D horizontal winds in clear and partially cloudy scenarios. 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The improvement in accuracy of large-scale fields substantially enhances the forecasts of typhoons' track and maximum wind speed, as well as the central sea-level pressure. Moreover, the prediction of the spatial distribution and intensity for landfall precipitation is also improved. The detailed diagnoses of the Maria show that a more southerly subtropical high generated by the additional horizontal wind assimilation improves the rainfall spatial distribution, and the reasonable water vapor transportation caused by the improved dynamic conditions corrects the precipitation intensity. 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引用次数: 0
摘要
高时间分辨率地球静止高光谱红外探测仪可同时测定大气温度和湿度,并跟踪湿度特征,以提供晴朗和部分多云情况下的三维水平风。所获得的热力学信息对于加强热带气旋(TC)预报不可或缺。然而,地球静止高光谱红外探测仪(GeoHIS)提供的动态信息对数值天气预报(NWP)的潜在益处还有待充分了解。通过重新估计观测误差和多元水文气象背景误差协方差,地球静止干涉红外探测器(GIIRS)提供的三维水平风与水文气象信息协同同化。评估了 GIIRS 导出的三维水平风同化对台风 "玛莉亚"(2018 年)和 "利奇玛"(2019 年)分析和预报的影响。结果表明,GIIRS 衍生的三维水平风同化显著降低了分析和预报的均方根误差,尤其是 U 和 V 分量。大尺度场精度的提高大大增强了台风路径和最大风速以及中心海平面气压的预报。此外,对登陆降水的空间分布和强度的预测也有所改进。对 "玛莉亚 "的详细诊断表明,额外的水平风同化所产生的更偏南的副热带高气压改善了降水的空间分布,而动态条件改善所导致的合理水汽输送修正了降水强度。这项工作凸显了动态信息在热带气旋预报中的重要性,并强调了高效和高精度三维风测量对改进 NWP 的必要性。
Added Value of Three-Dimensional Horizontal Winds From Geostationary Interferometric Infrared Sounder for Typhoon Forecast in a Regional NWP Model
High temporal resolution geostationary hyperspectral infrared sounders can simultaneously profile atmospheric temperature and moisture, and track moisture features to provide 3D horizontal winds in clear and partially cloudy scenarios. The thermodynamic information obtained has been integral to enhancing tropical cyclone (TC) forecasts. However, the potential benefits derived from the dynamic information provided by geostationary hyperspectral infrared sounders (GeoHIS) are yet to be fully comprehended for numerical weather prediction (NWP). With the re-estimated observation error and multivariate hydrometeor background error covariance, the 3D horizontal winds from the Geostationary Interferometric Infrared Sounder (GIIRS) are synergistically assimilated with the hydrometeor information. The impact of the GIIRS-derived 3D horizontal wind assimilation on Typhoon Maria (2018) and Lekima (2019) analysis and forecast are evaluated. The results show that the assimilating GIIRS-derived 3D horizontal wind notably reduces the RMSEs of analysis and forecast, particularly in the U and V components. The improvement in accuracy of large-scale fields substantially enhances the forecasts of typhoons' track and maximum wind speed, as well as the central sea-level pressure. Moreover, the prediction of the spatial distribution and intensity for landfall precipitation is also improved. The detailed diagnoses of the Maria show that a more southerly subtropical high generated by the additional horizontal wind assimilation improves the rainfall spatial distribution, and the reasonable water vapor transportation caused by the improved dynamic conditions corrects the precipitation intensity. This work highlights the importance of dynamic information in TC forecasting and emphasizes the need for efficient and high-precision 3D wind measurements to improve NWP.
期刊介绍:
JGR: Atmospheres publishes articles that advance and improve understanding of atmospheric properties and processes, including the interaction of the atmosphere with other components of the Earth system.