探索山区地形对与天气有关的撞车事故的影响

IF 3.2 Q3 TRANSPORTATION
Abimbola Ogungbire , Panick Kalambay , Srinivas S. Pulugurtha
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引用次数: 0

摘要

山区地形复杂,气候条件恶劣,给交通安全带来了独特的挑战。陡峭地形会导致道路蜿蜒曲折,每英里方位角变化很大,从而增加了危险驾驶条件的可能性。此外,陡峭的地形往往与雾的形成有关,而雾会使道路被云层遮挡。因此,有必要研究与天气有关的车祸,并确定山区的相关风险因素。为了解决这个问题,我们采用了托比特(Tobit)、潜类托比特(LCT)和两部分截断对数正态(TPTLN)模型来研究地形与天气相关撞车率之间的潜在相互作用,同时考虑到撞车数据的删减性质。为此,我们使用了北卡罗来纳州西部地区的数据,该地区拥有众多山脉,天气条件变化多端。该地区由横跨七个城市的 3570 英里公路网组成,海拔高度从平均海平面以上 1000 英尺到 6158 英尺不等。从高速公路安全信息系统(HSIS)中获取了 2015 年至 2017 年的交通事故数据。结果显示,地形对山区与天气有关的交通事故有很大影响。海拔越高、坡度越陡,车祸发生率越低。此外,该研究还强调了在评估山区交通安全时考虑地形的重要性。研究结果有助于制定旨在改善这些地区交通安全的政策和干预措施。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Exploring the effect of mountainous terrain on weather-related crashes

Mountainous areas pose unique challenges to transportation safety, with their complex terrain and harsh weather conditions. The presence of steep terrain can lead to winding roads with a high degree of azimuth change per mile, thereby increasing the potential for hazardous driving conditions. Additionally, steep terrain is often associated with fog formation, which can obscure roads by clouds. Thus, there is a need to study weather-related crashes and identify associated risk factors in mountainous areas. To address this issue, the Tobit, latent class Tobit (LCT), and two-part truncated log normal (TPTLN) models were employed to investigate the potential interactions between topography and weather-related crash rates, while accounting for the censored nature of crash data. Data from the western region of North Carolina, which is home to numerous mountains experiencing a wide range of weather conditions was used for this purpose. This region comprises a 3570-mile road network across seven cities, with elevations ranging from 1000 ft. to >6158 ft. above mean sea level. Crash data from 2015 to 2017 was obtained from the Highway Safety Information System (HSIS). The results revealed that topography significantly affect weather-related crashes in mountainous areas. Higher elevations and steeper slopes are associated with lower crash rates. Also, the study highlights the importance of considering topography when assessing transportation safety in mountainous areas. The findings help develop transportation safety policies and interventions aimed at improving safety in these areas.

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来源期刊
IATSS Research
IATSS Research TRANSPORTATION-
CiteScore
6.40
自引率
6.20%
发文量
44
审稿时长
42 weeks
期刊介绍: First published in 1977 as an international journal sponsored by the International Association of Traffic and Safety Sciences, IATSS Research has contributed to the dissemination of interdisciplinary wisdom on ideal mobility, particularly in Asia. IATSS Research is an international refereed journal providing a platform for the exchange of scientific findings on transportation and safety across a wide range of academic fields, with particular emphasis on the links between scientific findings and practice in society and cultural contexts. IATSS Research welcomes submission of original research articles and reviews that satisfy the following conditions: 1.Relevant to transportation and safety, and the multiple impacts of transportation systems on security, human health, and the environment. 2.Contains important policy and practical implications based on scientific evidence in the applicable academic field. In addition to welcoming general submissions, IATSS Research occasionally plans and publishes special feature sections and special issues composed of invited articles addressing specific topics.
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