大流行病期间不择手段的决策

IF 3.8 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS
Kathryn M.E. Dominguez , Andrea Foschi
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引用次数: 0

摘要

全球央行纷纷推出大规模资产购买计划,以应对大流行病期间前所未有的情况。其中许多计划是以开放式的形式宣布的,目的是震慑市场参与者,恢复金融市场的信心。本文研究了这些不择手段的公告是否比明确限制规模的公告产生了更大的影响。我们采用叙述法对 22 家中央银行发布的公告进行分类,并使用事件研究法、倾向得分匹配法和本地预测法来衡量政策公告对汇率和主权债券收益率的短期影响。我们发现,与规模有限的公告相比,中央银行首次发布的 "无论采取什么措施 "公告平均会将 10 年期债券收益率额外降低 47 个基点,这表明潜在政策规模的沟通非常重要。我们对收益率的研究结果对发达经济体和新兴经济体都适用,而对汇率的研究结果则相反,当我们把所有国家放在一起时,汇率的反应会减弱。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Whatever-it-takes policymaking during the pandemic

Central banks across the globe introduced large-scale asset purchase programs to address the unprecedented circumstances experienced during the pandemic. Many of these programs were announced as open-ended to shock-and-awe market participants and restore confidence in financial markets. This paper examines whether these whatever-it-takes announcements had larger effects than announcements with explicit limits on scale. We use a narrative approach to categorize announcements made by twenty-two central banks, and event study, propensity-score-matching, and local projection methods to measure the short-term effects of policy announcements on exchange rates and sovereign bond yields. We find that on average a central bank’s first whatever-it-takes announcement lowers 10-year bond yields by an additional 47 basis points relative to size-limited announcements, suggesting that communication of potential policy scale matters. Our results for yields hold for both advanced and emerging economies, while exchange rates go in opposing directions, muting their response when we group all countries together.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
5.80
自引率
6.10%
发文量
98
期刊介绍: The Journal of International Economics is intended to serve as the primary outlet for theoretical and empirical research in all areas of international economics. These include, but are not limited to the following: trade patterns, commercial policy; international institutions; exchange rates; open economy macroeconomics; international finance; international factor mobility. The Journal especially encourages the submission of articles which are empirical in nature, or deal with issues of open economy macroeconomics and international finance. Theoretical work submitted to the Journal should be original in its motivation or modelling structure. Empirical analysis should be based on a theoretical framework, and should be capable of replication.
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