{"title":"硅谷银行破产的多米诺骨牌效应与美国联邦储备委员会货币政策的作用","authors":"Elif Erer , Deniz Erer","doi":"10.1016/j.bir.2024.03.002","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This paper examines the spillover effects of bankruptcy by important tech industry banks—Silicon Valley Bank (SVB), Silvergate Bank, and Signature Bank—on the top 10 institutions in the MSCI Bank Index and the role that monetary policy by the US Federal Reserve (the Fed) played in this contagion, using Dynamic Conditional Correlation-Exponentional Generalized Autoregressive (DCC-EGARCH) and time-varying Granger-causality models. Our findings show that the dynamic conditional correlations among the banks were higher during the period of the SVB crisis, implying the presence of financial contagion from the bank's bankruptcy due to uncertainty triggered by its collapse. Financial contagion emerges between SVB and the top 10 banks, and the degree of contagion rises during the crisis period. Moreover, the Fed's monetary policy plays a significant role in contagion due to bank failures. The deepening of financial contagion followed the Fed's increases in the federal funds rate to combat inflation.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":46690,"journal":{"name":"Borsa Istanbul Review","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":6.3000,"publicationDate":"2024-05-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214845024000437/pdfft?md5=4bed7a2974db172df14803509033be9f&pid=1-s2.0-S2214845024000437-main.pdf","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"The domino effect of silicon valley Bank's bankruptcy and the role of FED's monetary policy\",\"authors\":\"Elif Erer , Deniz Erer\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.bir.2024.03.002\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><p>This paper examines the spillover effects of bankruptcy by important tech industry banks—Silicon Valley Bank (SVB), Silvergate Bank, and Signature Bank—on the top 10 institutions in the MSCI Bank Index and the role that monetary policy by the US Federal Reserve (the Fed) played in this contagion, using Dynamic Conditional Correlation-Exponentional Generalized Autoregressive (DCC-EGARCH) and time-varying Granger-causality models. Our findings show that the dynamic conditional correlations among the banks were higher during the period of the SVB crisis, implying the presence of financial contagion from the bank's bankruptcy due to uncertainty triggered by its collapse. Financial contagion emerges between SVB and the top 10 banks, and the degree of contagion rises during the crisis period. Moreover, the Fed's monetary policy plays a significant role in contagion due to bank failures. The deepening of financial contagion followed the Fed's increases in the federal funds rate to combat inflation.</p></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":46690,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Borsa Istanbul Review\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":6.3000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-05-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214845024000437/pdfft?md5=4bed7a2974db172df14803509033be9f&pid=1-s2.0-S2214845024000437-main.pdf\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Borsa Istanbul Review\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214845024000437\",\"RegionNum\":2,\"RegionCategory\":\"经济学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"BUSINESS, FINANCE\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Borsa Istanbul Review","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214845024000437","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"BUSINESS, FINANCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
摘要
本文利用动态条件相关性-外差广义自回归(DCC-EGARCH)和时变格兰杰因果关系模型,研究了重要科技行业银行--硅谷银行(SVB)、银门银行(Silvergate Bank)和签名银行(Signature Bank)的破产对摩根士丹利资本国际银行指数(MSCI Bank Index)前十大机构的溢出效应,以及美国联邦储备委员会(美联储)的货币政策在这种传染中发挥的作用。我们的研究结果表明,在 SVB 危机期间,银行间的动态条件相关性较高,这意味着银行倒闭引发的不确定性导致了银行破产的金融传染。SVB 与排名前 10 的银行之间出现了金融传染,且传染程度在危机期间上升。此外,美联储的货币政策在银行倒闭导致的传染中发挥了重要作用。在美联储提高联邦基金利率以对抗通胀之后,金融传染加深。
The domino effect of silicon valley Bank's bankruptcy and the role of FED's monetary policy
This paper examines the spillover effects of bankruptcy by important tech industry banks—Silicon Valley Bank (SVB), Silvergate Bank, and Signature Bank—on the top 10 institutions in the MSCI Bank Index and the role that monetary policy by the US Federal Reserve (the Fed) played in this contagion, using Dynamic Conditional Correlation-Exponentional Generalized Autoregressive (DCC-EGARCH) and time-varying Granger-causality models. Our findings show that the dynamic conditional correlations among the banks were higher during the period of the SVB crisis, implying the presence of financial contagion from the bank's bankruptcy due to uncertainty triggered by its collapse. Financial contagion emerges between SVB and the top 10 banks, and the degree of contagion rises during the crisis period. Moreover, the Fed's monetary policy plays a significant role in contagion due to bank failures. The deepening of financial contagion followed the Fed's increases in the federal funds rate to combat inflation.
期刊介绍:
Peer Review under the responsibility of Borsa İstanbul Anonim Sirketi. Borsa İstanbul Review provides a scholarly platform for empirical financial studies including but not limited to financial markets and institutions, financial economics, investor behavior, financial centers and market structures, corporate finance, recent economic and financial trends. Micro and macro data applications and comparative studies are welcome. Country coverage includes advanced, emerging and developing economies. In particular, we would like to publish empirical papers with significant policy implications and encourage submissions in the following areas: Research Topics: • Investments and Portfolio Management • Behavioral Finance • Financial Markets and Institutions • Market Microstructure • Islamic Finance • Financial Risk Management • Valuation • Capital Markets Governance • Financial Regulations