Mammographic surveillance after breast cancer.

Early detection of local recurrence has been shown to improve survival. What is unclear is how frequently mammography should be performed, how long surveillance should continue and how the answers to these questions vary with tumour pathology, patients age, and surgery type. Many of these questions are not directly answerable from the current literature. While some of these questions will be answered by the Mammo-50 study, evidence from local recurrence rates, tumour biology, and the lead time of mammography can be used to guide policy. Young age is the strongest predictor of local recurrence and given the short lead time of screening in women under 50, these women require annual mammography. Women over 50 with HER-2 positive and triple negative breast cancer have higher rates of local recurrence after breast conserving surgery than women with luminal cancers. Women with HER-2 positive and triple negative breast cancer also have a higher rate of recurrence in years 1-3 post surgery. Annual mammography in year 1-4 would appear justified. Women over 50 with luminal cancers have low rates of local recurrence and no early peak. Recurrence growth will be low due to tumour biology and hormone therapy. Biennial mammography after year 2 would seem appropriate. Women over 50 following mastectomy have no early peak in contralateral cancers so the frequency should be determined by the lead time of screening. This would suggest 2 yearly mammography for women aged 50-60 while 3 yearly mammography may suffice for women over 60.