解决能源贫困问题:在撒哈拉以南非洲,用于烹饪的清洁燃料和电力供应会改善还是恶化健康状况?

Mwoya Byaro , Nanzia Florent Mmbaga , Gemma Mafwolo
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摘要

撒哈拉以南非洲(SSA)国家仍处于能源贫困之中,平均分别只有 35% 和 19% 的人口用上了电和清洁燃料烹饪技术。本研究探讨了从 2000 年到 2020 年,在 48 个撒哈拉以南非洲国家中,获得电力和清洁燃料烹饪技术是否会改善或恶化健康状况(即婴儿、儿童和孕产妇死亡率)。在控制医疗支出和收入的同时,我们采用面板量化回归法估算了获得电力和清洁烹饪燃料对健康结果的影响,并使用滞后解释变量作为工具来消除内生性。为确保结果的稳健性,我们还采用了基于核的正则化最小二乘法(KRLS),这是一种机器学习技术。我们的研究结果表明,在所有量级(即第 25、50、60、75 和 90 个量级)上,用电可降低婴儿、儿童和孕产妇死亡率。同样,用于烹饪的清洁燃料和技术也降低了大多数量级的孕产妇、婴儿和儿童死亡率。这表明,增加用电、烹饪用清洁燃料和技术将对降低撒哈拉以南非洲地区的儿童、婴儿和孕产妇死亡率产生重大影响。研究结果还显示,在某些数量组中,清洁烹饪燃料和技术会增加婴儿和五岁以下儿童的死亡率。这可能是由于烹饪也是造成房屋火灾的主要原因,导致婴儿和五岁以下儿童死亡。因此,必须优先考虑家庭烹饪安全措施,以防止婴儿和儿童不必要的死亡。我们的研究提出了短期和长期能源政策建议,以解决能源贫困问题,并最终改善撒哈拉以南非洲地区的人口健康。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Tackling energy poverty: Do clean fuels for cooking and access to electricity improve or worsen health outcomes in sub-Saharan Africa?

Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) countries continue to suffer from energy poverty, with 35 % and 19 % of the average population, having access to electricity and clean fuels for cooking technologies, respectively. This study examines whether access to electricity and clean fuels for cooking and technology improves or worsens health outcomes (i.e. infant, child and maternal mortality) in 48 sub-Saharan African countries from 2000 to 2020. We applied panel quantile regression to estimate the impact of access to electricity, and clean fuels for cooking on health outcomes while controlling for health care expenditure and income, using lagged explanatory variables as instruments to eliminate endogeneity. To ensure the robustness of the results, we also employed the Kernel-based Regularized Least Squares (KRLS), a machine learning technique. Our results show that access to electricity reduce infant, child, and maternal mortality across all quantiles (i.e., the 25th, 50th, 60th, 75th and 90th). Similarly, clean fuels for cooking and technologies reduce maternal, infant and child mortality to most quantiles. This indicates that increased access to electricity, clean fuels for cooking and technologies will have a significant impact on reducing child, infant and maternal mortality in SSA. The findings also reveal that clean fuels for cooking and technologies increase both infant and under-five mortality in certain quantiles. This is likely due to the fact that cooking is also a leading cause of house fires, killing both infants and children under the age of five. Therefore, it is crucial to prioritize home cooking safety measures to prevent unnecessary deaths of infants and children. Our study suggests short-and long-term energy policies to address energy poverty and ultimately improve population health in SSA.

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