在 Logit 混合 Logit 模型框架内,澳大利亚社区对酒店检疫选择的偏好

IF 2.8 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS
Andrea Pellegrini , Antonio Borriello , John M. Rose
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引用次数: 0

摘要

为应对 Covid-19 大流行,许多国家采取了遏制病毒传播的措施,包括对入境旅客实施强制检疫。本研究调查了澳大利亚新南威尔士州居民对该州采取的强制隔离协议的偏好。通过推进 Train(2016 年)定义的 Logit 混合 Logit(LML)模型,探讨了个体偏好的异质性。在此框架下,提出了两种分解个体异质性的方法,并将其应用于通过陈述偏好实验收集的数据。实证研究结果表明,平均而言,社区倾向于将回国旅客隔离在专门的检疫设施中,而不是在家中或使用酒店进行检疫,但对于旅客被隔离多长时间以及有多少旅客被允许返回澳大利亚,社区大多持无所谓的态度。不过,平均而言,样本确实倾向于让旅客支付更少的检疫费用,这意味着他们希望看到政府提供更多补贴。然而,建模方法表明,平均值的普遍使用可能会掩盖不同的偏好,不能代表社会的愿望和期望,从而可能导致对政策影响的错误推断。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Australian community preferences for hotel quarantine options within the Logit Mixed Logit Model framework

In response to the Covid-19 pandemic, many countries have adopted measures to contain the spread of the virus, including mandatory quarantine for inbound travellers. This research investigates the preferences of residents of New South Wales, Australia, towards the mandatory quarantine protocol adopted in the state. Heterogeneity in individual preferences is explored by advancing the Logit Mixed Logit (LML) model defined by Train (2016). Two approaches are suggested to decompose individual heterogeneity in this framework and are applied to data collected via a stated preference experiment. The empirical findings demonstrate that on average, the community prefers returned travellers be quarantined in dedicated quarantine facilities rather than be quarantined at home or using hotels, but are mostly indifferent to how long travellers are quarantined for, and how many travellers are allowed to return to Australia. The sample do however have a preference, on average for travellers having to pay less to quarantine, meaning they wish to see greater government subsidies. However, the modelling approach demonstrates that the common use of averages potentially masks diverse preferences, and is not representative of community wants and desires, thus possibly leading to incorrect inferences about policy impacts.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
4.10
自引率
12.50%
发文量
31
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