美国妇科癌症死亡率趋势及 COVID-19 大流行的影响。

IF 3.1 2区 医学 Q3 IMMUNOLOGY
Yuyan Xi, Yuxin Guo, Sikai Qiu, Fan Lv, Yujiao Deng, Jingyi Xie, Zixuan Xing, Yajing Bo, Chenyu Chang, Fan Zhang, Fanpu Ji, Mu Li
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引用次数: 0

摘要

目标:我们的目标是评估 2010 年至 2022 年期间美国妇科癌症(GC)死亡率的趋势,重点关注大流行病对死亡人数增加的影响:我们的目的是评估 2010 年至 2022 年期间美国妇科癌症(GC)死亡率的趋势,重点关注大流行病对死亡人数增加的影响:妇科癌症死亡率数据来自美国疾病控制和预防中心的流行病学研究广泛在线数据(CDC WONDER)平台。我们分析了死亡率趋势,并通过连接点回归和预测模型分析评估了 2020 年至 2022 年期间的观察死亡率与预测死亡率:结果:2010 年至 2022 年期间,共有 334,382 例 25 岁及以上成年人死于妇科癌症。卵巢癌相关死亡的总体年龄标准化死亡率(ASMR,每 10 万人)从 2010 年的 7.189 例逐渐下降到 2019 年的 5.517 例,APC(年度百分比变化)为-2.8%。然而,在大流行期间,卵巢癌相关死亡率的下降速度减缓了 4 倍多。宫颈癌相关死亡率在大流行前略有下降,在大流行期间有所上升,年百分比变化率为 0.6%,导致 2020 年、2021 年和 2022 年的超额死亡率分别为 4.92%、9.73% 和 2.03%。就子宫体癌而言,ASMR 从 2010 年的 1.905 上升到 2019 年的 2.787,并在 2021 年和 2022 年急剧上升到 3.079 和 3.211。2013年至2022年期间,ASMR稳步上升,APC为6.9%:总体而言,我们发现在 COVID-19 大流行期间,与 GC 相关的死亡率有所上升,而且这种上升与年龄、种族或民族无关。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Trends in gynaecologic cancer mortality and the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States.

Objectives: Our aim was to assess the trend in gynaecologic cancer (GC) mortality in the period from 2010 to 2022 in the United States, with focus on the impact of the pandemic on increased deaths.

Methods: GC mortality data were extracted from the Center for Disease Control and Prevention Wide-Ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research (CDC WONDER) platform. We analysed mortality trends and evaluated observed vs. predicted mortality for the period from 2020 to 2022 with joinpoint regression and prediction modelling analyses.

Results: A total of 334,382 deaths among adults aged 25 years and older with gynaecologic cancer were documented from 2010 to 2022. The overall age-standardised mortality rate (ASMR, per 100,000 persons) for ovarian cancer-related death decreased gradually from 7.189 in 2010 to 5.517 in 2019, yielding an APC (annual percentage change) of -2.8%. However, the decrease in ovarian cancer-related mortality slowed down by more than 4-fold during the pandemic. Cervical cancer -related mortality decreased slightly prior to the pandemic and increased during the pandemic with an APC of 0.6%, resulting in excess mortality of 4.92%, 9.73% and 2.03% in 2020, 2021 and 2022, respectively. For uterine corpus cancer, the ASMR increased from 1.905 in 2010 to 2.787 in 2019, and increased sharply to 3.079 in 2021 and 3.211 in 2022. The ASMR rose steadily between 2013 and 2022, yielding an APC of 6.9%.

Conclusions: Overall, we found that GC-related mortality increased during the COVID-19 pandemic, and this increase was not specific to age, race, or ethnicity.

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来源期刊
Infectious Agents and Cancer
Infectious Agents and Cancer ONCOLOGY-IMMUNOLOGY
CiteScore
5.80
自引率
2.70%
发文量
54
期刊介绍: Infectious Agents and Cancer is an open access, peer-reviewed online journal that encompasses all aspects of basic, clinical, epidemiological and translational research providing an insight into the association between chronic infections and cancer. The journal welcomes submissions in the pathogen-related cancer areas and other related topics, in particular: • HPV and anogenital cancers, as well as head and neck cancers; • EBV and Burkitt lymphoma; • HCV/HBV and hepatocellular carcinoma as well as lymphoproliferative diseases; • HHV8 and Kaposi sarcoma; • HTLV and leukemia; • Cancers in Low- and Middle-income countries. The link between infection and cancer has become well established over the past 50 years, and infection-associated cancer contribute up to 16% of cancers in developed countries and 33% in less developed countries. Preventive vaccines have been developed for only two cancer-causing viruses, highlighting both the opportunity to prevent infection-associated cancers by vaccination and the gaps that remain before vaccines can be developed for other cancer-causing agents. These gaps are due to incomplete understanding of the basic biology, natural history, epidemiology of many of the pathogens that cause cancer, the mechanisms they exploit to cause cancer, and how to interrupt progression to cancer in human populations. Early diagnosis or identification of lesions at high risk of progression represent the current most critical research area of the field supported by recent advances in genomics and proteomics technologies.
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