前列腺癌筛查的一个新指标:前列腺特异性抗原波动率

U. Can , A. Coskun , C. Canakci , B. Simsek , Y. Karaca , K. Sabuncu , O. Akca
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引用次数: 0

摘要

目的:评估 PSA 波动是否可用于预测前列腺癌风险:评估 PSA 波动是否可用于预测前列腺癌风险:研究纳入了 2013 年至 2021 年期间在 Kartal Dr. Lutfi Kirdar 市医院接受前列腺活检的 1244 名患者(非癌症患者 848 名;癌症患者 396 名)。患者的年龄、活检前三个月内最后两次 PSA 值(PSA1 和 PSA2)、两次 PSA 之间的间隔时间(天数)、前列腺大小(g)和 PSA 密度(PSAD)均被记录在案。PSA波动率(PSAfr)是指两次PSA值之间的变化率:结果:非癌症组的 PSAfr 明显低于前列腺癌组(15.2% (20.5) 和 9.6% (14.4),P = 0.019)。简单线性回归用于研究 PSAfr 与年龄、PSA、PSAD 和前列腺体积等其他因素之间的关系,但结果显示这些因素对 PSA 波动没有影响。ROC分析显示,PSAfr的曲线下面积(AUC)相对较低(AUC, 0.584 (0.515-0.653)),但12.35%的临界值具有显著性,灵敏度为58%,特异度为59%(p:0.019,95%CI)。结果发现,PSAfr值高的人被诊断为前列腺癌的几率是PSAfr值低的人的1.83倍:结论:PSAfr 可用于预测前列腺癌风险的提名图,减少不必要的活检次数。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A new promising indicator in prostate cancer screening: Prostate-specific antigen fluctuation rate

Objectives

To evaluate whether PSA fluctuation can be used to predict the risk of prostate cancer.

Materials and methods

The study included 1244 patients who underwent prostate biopsy at Kartal Dr. Lutfi Kirdar City Hospital between 2013 and 2021 (848 in non-cancer; 396 in cancer). The patient's age, last two PSA values (PSA1 and PSA2) within three months before the biopsy, the duration between two PSAs (days), prostate size (g) and PSA density (PSAD) were all recorded. PSA fluctuation rate (PSAfr) was defined as the change rate between two PSA values.

Results

PSAfr was significantly higher in the non-cancer group than in the prostate cancer group (15.2% (20.5) and 9.6% (14.4), P = .019). A Simple linear regression was used to examine the relationship between PSAfr and other factors such as age, PSA, PSAD, and prostate volume, but it was shown that these had no effect on PSA fluctuations. ROC analysis revealed a relatively low Area Under the Curve (AUC) for PSAfr (AUC, 0.584 (0.515–0.653)). However, the cut-off value of 12.35% was found to be significant, with a sensitivity of 58% and a specificity of 59% (P:.019, 95%CI). The odds ratio, adjusted for age, PSAD, and PSA2, was calculated as 0.545 (0.33−0.89) using logistic regression analysis to show the relationship between prostate cancer and PSAfr. As a result, those with high PSAfr were found to be 1.83 times less likely to be diagnosed with prostate cancer than those with low fluctuations.

Conclusion

PSAfr could be used in nomograms to predict prostate cancer risk and reduce the number of unnecessary biopsies.

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