发展中国家应对气候变化造成的损失和损害的挑战与对策

IF 6.4 1区 地球科学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES
Shuo Liu , Yu-E Li , Bin Wang , An-Dong Cai , Chao Feng , Hua Lan , Ruo-Chen Zhao
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引用次数: 0

摘要

极端气候事件造成的损失和损害日益受到关注。联合国气候变化框架公约》(以下简称《公约》)第 28 次缔约方大会同意通过损失和损害基金协议,确定了资金来源和委托世界银行管理的资金。然而,如何分配这些资金才能更有效地满足发展中国家的需求,仍然是一个模糊的问题。灾前预防和准备是应对损失和破坏的最有效措施之一,与适应密切相关。以往的研究很少对灾前防灾备灾与适应减少损失和损害的资金需求进行定量分析。本研究基于各国在《公约》下提交的官方报告,分析了发达国家向发展中国家提供的资金支持总额的年度变化、灾前防灾备灾在发展中国家适应需求中所占的比例,以及发达国家提高目前每年1000亿美元资金目标的进展情况,揭示了发展中国家在应对损失和损害方面所面临的资金和技术挑战。研究结果表明,到2030年,发展中国家的适应资金需求总额预计约为3.8万亿美元,其中灾前预防事项约占9%。因此,到 2030 年,发展中国家将需要约 3420 亿美元的灾前预防和准备资金,以抵御损失和损害。此外,发展中国家缺乏量化需求信息的技术方法。基于以上分析,本研究提出对策建议,包括加强损失和损害基金对灾前预警和防控行动的分配额度,并根据共同但有区别的责任和各自能力(CBDR-RC)原则,建立发达国家向发展中国家提供资金的跟踪模式,为加快国际气候治理的有效性提供有利保障。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Challenges and countermeasures for developing countries in addressing loss and damage caused by climate change

Loss and damage caused by extreme climate events have attracted increasing attention. The 28th Conference of the Parties to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (hereinafter referred to as the Convention) has agreed to adopt Loss and Damage Fund agreement, which identified the source of funding and the funds to be entrusted to the World Bank. However, there is still ambiguous that how to allocate the funds could accelerate the effectiveness of meeting the needs for developing countries. Pre-disaster prevention and preparedness is one of the most effective measures to deal with loss and damage, which closely related to adaptation. Previous studies rarely analyzed quantitatively the financial needs of pre-disaster prevention and preparedness relating to adaptation to reduce loss and damage. Based on the official reports submitted by countries under the Convention, this study analyzes the annual change in the total financial support provided by developed countries to developing countries, the proportion of pre-disaster prevention and preparedness in the adaptation needs of developing countries, and the progress in raising the current annual funding target of 100 billion USD for developed countries, to reveal the financial and technical challenges facing by developing countries on addressing loss and damage. The results show that by 2030, the total adaptation financial needs of developing countries are estimated to be about 3.8 trillion USD, of which pre-disaster prevention matters account for about 9%. Therefore, by 2030, developing countries will need about 342 billion USD in pre-disaster prevention and preparedness finance to withstand loss and damage. In addition, developing countries face a lack of technical methods to quantify information about their needs. Based on the above analysis, this study puts forward countermeasures and suggestions, including strengthening the allocation amount of loss and damage fund on pre-disaster warning, prevention and control actions, and establishing track modalities on the finance provided by developed countries to developing countries based on the principles of the principle of Common but Differentiated Responsibilities and Respective Capabilities (CBDR-RC), to provide favorable guarantee for accelerating the effectiveness of international climate governance.

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来源期刊
Advances in Climate Change Research
Advances in Climate Change Research Earth and Planetary Sciences-Atmospheric Science
CiteScore
9.80
自引率
4.10%
发文量
424
审稿时长
107 days
期刊介绍: Advances in Climate Change Research publishes scientific research and analyses on climate change and the interactions of climate change with society. This journal encompasses basic science and economic, social, and policy research, including studies on mitigation and adaptation to climate change. Advances in Climate Change Research attempts to promote research in climate change and provide an impetus for the application of research achievements in numerous aspects, such as socioeconomic sustainable development, responses to the adaptation and mitigation of climate change, diplomatic negotiations of climate and environment policies, and the protection and exploitation of natural resources.
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